Sorry!! The article you are trying to read is not available now.
Thank you very much;
you're only a step away from
downloading your reports.

S&P: Some ETF Investors Should Look at First-Half Laggards

By

S&P Capital IQ evaluates ETFs for the second half of 2012 in a recent research note.

PrintPRINT

The first half of 2012 is in the books and many ETF investors are looking at the winners from the first six months for help in finding winners for the back half of the year. That strategy might prove efficacious, but S&P Capital IQ recommends that investors evaluate some of the first half's ETF laggards as well.

In a recent research note, the firm put Underweight ratings on two of the best-performing funds from the January-June time period while giving Overweight ratings to two first-half ETF laggards.

Among those funds earning an Underweight rating is the Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN). TAN does not fall into the category of leader with the potential to turn into a laggard. Amid slack demand, falling prices and the loss of European subsidies, solar stocks have been among the worst performers this year. Not surprisingly, TAN is one of the worst-performing sector ETFs with a loss of 24 percent.

Disappointment has not been the name of the game for the iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index Fund (ITB), which was the top-performing non-leveraged ETF in the first half of the year. Still, S&P has an Underweight rating on the fund.

"While mostly focused on homebuilding stocks, this 27-stock portfolio also has exposure to building products and home improvement retailers," S&P said in the note. "Many of these positions are considered overvalued according to both S&P Capital IQ equity analysts and S&P Fair Value, including Home Depot (HD), PulteGroup (PHM) and Ryland Group (RYL). Despite its bullish technical input, ITB also incurs an above-average standard deviation, hurting its overall ETF ranking."

S&P has Sell ratings on all three of those stocks.

A surprise addition to list of potential leaders-turned-laggards is the First Trust NYSE Arca Biotech Index Fund (FBT). FBT has been the leader among biotech ETFs in 2012, S&P prefers the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI). S&P rates XBI Overweight.

"While each has a favorable technical input, we rank FBT much lower than XBI because it is more expensive (0.61% gross expense ratio vs. 0.35%), incurs a higher standard deviation (29 vs. 22) and has a greater concentration in stocks with below-average S&P Quality Rankings such as Affymetrix (AFFX)," S&P said. The firm has a Sell rating on Affymetrix.

One fund that did perform well in the first half that S&P rates Overweight is the PowerShares KBW Bank Portfolio (KBWB). Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC), US Bancorp (USB) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Citigroup (C) combine for about 38 percent of KBWB's weight. The ETF outpaced the rival Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) by a wide margin in the first six months of the year.

S&P also likes two energy sector ETFs that slumped in the first half, the iShares S&P Global Energy ETF (IXC) and the Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH). Energy stocks were the worst performers in the S&P 500 in the first half and those glum returns now have the sector looking cheap by some metrics.

IXC, which has over $1 billion in assets under management and an expense ratio of 0.48 percent, holds 92 stocks. Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB) combine for over 19 percent of IXC's weight and both are rated Strong Buy by S&P. Schlumberger accounts for over 20 percent of OIH's weight.


Editor's Note: This content was originally published on Benzinga.com by The ETF Professor.

Below, find some more great ETF and market content from Benzinga:


JC Penney Announces Surprise July 4 Sale

General Motors to Possibly Resume Advertising on Facebook

Ireland Plans Return to Debt Markets for First TIme in Two Years


Twitter: @Benzinga

Benzinga Pro covers this and all market news in real time. Get your free trial here.

< Previous
  • 1
Next >
No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

PrintPRINT

Busy? Subscribe to our free newsletter!

Submit
 

WHAT'S POPULAR IN THE VILLE