Gold, Oil, and the SPX Trends and Setups
The energy sector is doing well and looks bullish for the next month or so. Risk in gold and gold miners is low compared to potential reward so keep your eye on this sector.
Utility & Energy Stocks – Utilities SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLU) / Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLE) – Weekly Investing Chart
The utility sector has done well and continues to look very bullish for 2013. This high dividend paying sector is liked by many and the price action speaks for itself. If the overall financial market starts to peak then these sectors should hold up well because they are services, dividend, and a commodity play wrapped into one.
S&P 500 Trend Daily Chart
The S&P 500 continues to be in an uptrend which I am trading with until price and volume tell me otherwise. But there are some early warning signs that another correction or a full-blown bear market may be just around the corner (Sell-off in May?).
Again, sticking with the uptrend is key, but knowing what could happen in the coming months gives you some time to start looking for some great shorting opportunities for when the trend changes. Your transition from long positions to short positions should be a simple measured move in your portfolios and not a panic reaction.
Weekend Trend Conclusion
In short, I remain bullish on stocks and commodity until I see a trend change in the S&P 500.
The energy sector is doing well and looks bullish for the next month or so.
Gold and gold miners... I feel they are entering a low risk entry point to start building a new long position. Risk is low compared to potential reward so depending on how things unfold this week I may start to get active in this sector.
Keep in mind that when the price of a commodity or index trades near the apex of a narrowing range or long term support/resistance level, volatility typically increases as fear and greed become heightened. This creates larger daily price swings so be prepared for some turbulence in the coming weeks while the market shakes things up.
Editor's Note: Chris Vermeulen offers more content at his sites, TheGoldAndOilGuy.com and Traders Video Playbook.
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