Sorry!! The article you are trying to read is not available now.
Thank you very much;
you're only a step away from
downloading your reports.

Ford Stock Nearing Critical Juncture


The European crisis coupled with global economic fits and starts have hit the stock hard.

If you are looking for an economically sensitive stock, look no further than Ford (F). The European crisis coupled with global economic fits and starts have hit the stock hard. And from a technical perspective, Ford is reaching a critical juncture.

On the weekly bar chart below, a fairly symmetrical, yet right leaning bearish head and shoulders pattern has formed over the past two and a half years. The neckline "band" (dotted below) should be supportive near term and assist Ford "longs" in defining their risk. Note that because this is a weekly chart, I created a support band consisting of weekly closing prices AND intra-week prices.

This pattern should be respected, though, as a sustained move below the lower band of the neckline would trigger the bearish pattern and portend much lower prices. But for now, it's just another pattern worth watching especially if you have a vested interest in the stock.

On a fundamental level, Ford analysts have been dropping earnings estimates steadily over the past few months as fears of slower global economic growth continue to weigh on the stock. Yet even with this in mind, estimates are still calling for a pickup in earnings and revenue growth next year. As such, Ford's forward P/E is just 5.80. When married up with global economic indicators and technical analysis, it is clear that the stock is moving in lockstep with the fits and starts and fears and whims of a global fiscal cliff.

Although better sentiment and stronger economic numbers may be a cure for what ails Ford, it is important to note that stocks typically price in what is known or foreseeable six months out... and right now, time and price have their technical eyes on the neckline support zone. You should, too.

Editor's Note: Andrew Nyquist is an independent investor based in the Minneapolis area. This article originally appeared on his investing and economics site, See It Market.

Twitter: @andrewnyquist
< Previous
  • 1
Next >
No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Featured Videos