R.I.P. Free Credit
Those happier times are long since passed, as the malaise continues to seep its way up the economic spectrum. Now, even the most creditworthy consumers who haven't missed a payment in years are seeing credit lines cut, interest rates raised and finding it increasingly difficult to get a mortgage. They'd better get used to it - the free lunch is over. Up in Washington, where economic rationale and populist rhetoric seem to be more mutually exclusive than ever these days, the Senate is voting on a widely debated new set of rules for the credit card industry.
According to the New York Times, although the legislation doesn't cap the rates companies like Capital One (COF) and American Express (AXP) can charge their customers, they'll be forced to up rates more slowly -- and with more disclosure -- meanwhile making it tougher to impose late fees on borrowers that can't keep up. This will reduce lenders' earning power, not to mention their inclination to give out credit lines to questionable borrowers.
While risky borrowers will bear the brunt of late fees, over-limit charges and slashed credit lines, the well-to-do are in for the biggest shock. Banks are considering curtailing or doing away entirely with rewards programs, grace periods before interest charges kick in and accounts without annual fees. Gone are the days when paying your bills on time was a path to free credit.
The country's biggest banks, JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) have already told Congress the new rules will force them to limit credit availability and increase fees. While this may bode well for profit margins in the near term, not so for the broader economy.
In light of the financial implosion wrought by too much debt supported by not enough real income, it's hard to argue credit card companies shouldn't be a bit less free-wheeling when handing out plastic. But analysts are quick to point out that paring down consumer credit will have a dastardly effect on our consumption-based economy.
For a country whose economy is two-thirds consumer spending, and whose consumer is (still) addicted to credit, the new legislation is like pumping the economy full of Xanex - everything will just slow down.
And while in the long run, less dependence on cheap and easy credit will help prevent the sorts of credit crisis like the one we're experiencing right now, we'll likely look back with 20/20 hindsight and say this legislation went too far, constricted credit too much. This is a shame, since before Congress even cooked up the idea of the new rules, the natural deleveraging cycle was already restricting credit on its own.
Debt isn't in and of itself, bad. As Minyanville's Kevin Depew wrote today, "real lending and economic activity will only improve when real savers see real value at the right level of risk. That will only occur in the short-run with vastly lower prices, or in the long run with stagnant prices and the benefit of time." Indeed.Credit allows a transfer of risk from those who want to take it, but can't, to those who can take it, but need to be appropriately compensated for putting their cash on the line. This can foster healthy economic growth - when used properly.
That day will come again, but that day isn't today.
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rewards programs - I have my AMEX card which basically pays me back when I spend enough
and of course pay my bill on time
grace periods before interest charges kick in - here you go please take my card now and hit my credit - in 6 months I have my credit score back on top - but you will not have 1 penny of MY MONEY
and accounts without annual fees - sorry don't need you - do you need me????
I'll resort to cash before I pay another fee to a CC company
killing the goose who can afford to lay golden eggs
The FICO folks will reduce my credit rating the less I use credit.
The less I spend on these coming credit card fees and interest expenses, the less creditworthy I will become.
The world is broken.
The only thing I can see credit cards companies having any chance of sucess on is in cutting back rewards programs. But even then, some will probably have some rewards still remaining; which means that those that eliminate the rewards programs will wind up yet again in the trash can.
Then I might use some reward program points to upgrade an airline ticket at an exchange rate of 100 points to $1 or better. Its a feel good thing and good marketing and promotes brand loyalty
If I am paying an annual fee, interest from charge date, no loyalty program, and they also reduce the credit line - what do I need it for?
Also, I reduce the number of cards I have (and the associated credit lines), and use them less as well.
All these things are prudent and will kill my FICO score so it will cost me more to get a refinance on my (up to date, and with a positive loan-to-value ratio) mortgage.
The system is broken.
My FICO score is 798 yet according to them I also have too many credit cards (I have always had 3), and use them too much (never missed a payment though and usage to available never exceeds 10%).
These 'negatives' on my credit report ensure I do not get the best mortgage rate or insurance premium score.
The system is broken.
When a 'credit score' outweighs prudent financial manegement - THE SYSTEM IS BROKEN
Didnt that monkey go crazy just minutes after being fed XANAX?
~This is a shame, since before Congress even cooked up the idea of the new rules, the natural deleveraging cycle was already restricting credit on its own. ~
Classic example of why we should just let the free market work. But instead of recognizing the actions of the free market and seeing the wisdom in them we run to Ma government to solve everything
Almost too many ironies here:
- Congress trying to make political hay "protecting" the average citizen when they've already sold them down the river with the bailouts, Fannie and Freddie, and increased tax burdens for generations.
- Congress looking as though they are protecting the consumer, when in fact, credit will be even more restricted to those who use it most, and who will be charged in other ways. Like most things Congress does, the unintended consequences will be worse than the problem they are supposedly solving.
- People with good credit will reject using because they are being punished for being responsible. My response when the interest on my card went from prime to 6%? Pay it off and not use it. If they try to charge me a $1 a year I will cut it up and cancel it.
- People who use credit cards as welfare, moving balances from one card to another, will continue to do it until they can't. Then, they will default on payments. Then, the lawyers will be busy trying to confiscate their house/car that is underwater or in Mexico. The banks will just add the unpaid balance to the "losses" column, deduct it from revenue and taxes, and the responsible will be asked to pony up more cash via taxation to "fix it".
- Sooner or later, the responsible with money will leave the country, go to Canada, South America, wherever they can go to not be punished for other people's bad behavior.
- The collapse will be spectacular, sad, but spectacular.
After which it will probably go even higher since you have even less potential debt
fallacy perpetrated by fair isaac















