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“There is a road, no simple highway, between the dawn and the dark of night. And if you go no one may follow, that path is for your steps alone.” --Ripple, Grateful Dead I spoke at a phil

As the credit crisis commenced in 2007, paradoxically, nobody actually defaulted. Outside of sub-prime delinquencies, corporate defaults were at a record low. Instead, investors in high-quality (AAA-

Stocks are on a tear again today hitting new recovery highs, as passionately bearish investors just tear their hair out. And that emotional quality is the subject of this article. In philos

From the 2002 bottom to the 2007 market top, it was hard to go wrong no matter what you did. Everything from junk bonds to commodities to emerging markets to the major market indices were all headed

"I'm pleased and happy to repeat the news that we have, in fact, caught and killed a large predator that supposedly injured some bathers. But, as you see, it's a beautiful day, the bea

I've noted before that, while GLD frequently inhales gold bullion, it rarely sells; and when it does sell, it’s usually a sign of capitulation. Why does the GLD rarely sell bullion? Contrary to

If you want to take the pulse of the market, just look around and see what’s happening to short sellers.A few months ago, you could go to mainstream websites and find tutorials on short selling

Dear Professor Smith,With option premiums still pretty high, this seems like a good time to write covered calls. But rather than pick stocks, is there currently any index or ETF where one c

As last year drew to a close, we revisited our 2008 themes and weighed them in kind. Some of them came to fruition, others were early but most hit the mark.When we entered 2009, we offered a fresh se