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Beyond Austerity or Stimulus... How About a Hybrid?

Mon May 14th, 2012

Aaron Brown

We know there are problems with either extreme. So why not find a middle ground that might combine the best of both?

Sympathy for the Flash Crash

Fri May 4th, 2012

Aaron Brown

The entire modern world has become too complex for anyone to understand, and therefore, too complex for anyone to fix with top-down rulemaking.

Dark Horses, Long Shots, and Kentucky Derby Betting

Tue Apr 24th, 2012

Aaron Brown

On the first Saturday in May, 20 three-year-old thoroughbreds run for the roses. If you want to make a buck on it, you must come to the dark side.

Don't Blame Speculators for Market Moves

Sat Apr 14th, 2012

Aaron Brown

Prices change. Get used to it.

Should There Be an FDA to Approve Financial Products?

Tue Apr 10th, 2012

Aaron Brown

Modeling a financial products approval agency on the Food and Drug Administration would be terrible idea. Here's why.

March Madness Recap: Evaluating How Well Game Theory Worked

Mon Apr 2nd, 2012

Aaron Brown

Basketball predictions are not all that important when filling out March Madness brackets. It's more important to pick the right number of upsets than it is to pick the most likely upsets.

Has High-Frequency Trading Destabilized Markets?

Tue Mar 27th, 2012

Aaron Brown

Aaron Brown deconstructs a recent paper asserting that high frequency trading has changed the structure of the commodity markets.

Adam Davidson's 'Why Some Countries Go Bust' Needs a Rewrite

Mon Mar 19th, 2012

Aaron Brown

Davidson gets things altogether wrong, even backward in some cases, as he attempts to encapsulate the ideas of eight different thinkers into 30 words each.

March Madness: Using Game Theory to Win Your Upset Picks

Mon Mar 12th, 2012

Aaron Brown

If you win more than half your upset picks, then you have an advantage over every other player in the pool. Of course, this still doesn't mean you'll win.

Cold War II: Why Investors Should Prepare for a Decade of Escalating Political Crises

Fri Mar 2nd, 2012

Aaron Brown

Over the next 10 years, the value of the G7 currencies, tax rates on investments, solvency of governments, financial repression, and other political parameters will cause more security price movements than changes in real activity or interest rates.
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