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Minyanville's T3 Morning Market Call: Bank of America Kicks Off Busy Calendar Day on Strong Note


The downtrodden bank reversed a loss from the year earlier, earning $2 billion by selling debt and offloading its stake in a Chinese bank.

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US stock futures are up almost 0.5% Thursday morning, tacking on further gains after Bank of America (BAC) turned a surprising profit in Q4 2011. The downtrodden bank reversed a loss from the year earlier, earning $2 billion by selling debt and offloading its stake in a Chinese bank. These revenue sources offset losses in investment banking and higher legal expenses related to mortgages. The stock is more than 5% higher pre-market.

The banks have keyed much of the recent rally, and today it looks like that will continue. After selling pieces that don't fit into its basic banking model, many were expecting Bank of America to turn a profit, but the realization of that goal seems to be welcomed by the skeptical market. Bank of America serves almost half of American households, so its results can be seen as a barometer for the American consumer.

Morgan Stanley (MS) is also almost 5% higher this morning after reporting a smaller than expected loss in the fourth quarter of 2011. Analysts had expected the bank to lose $0.57 per share, but the number came in at $0.15.

The earnings report by Goldman Sachs (GS) yesterday was mediocre at best, but it was not calamitous as the market seemed to fear. GS bounced slightly pre-market after its report, and took off after the opening bell gaining almost 7% by day's end. For the last two years the market has been able to rally at times with the banks providing a headwind, and participation by the sector would be a major positive for bulls.

Slightly higher this morning as well is Southwest Airlines (LUV), which reported a 32% rise in sales and 16% rise in net income.

On the flipside of things, BankUnited (BKU) is down almost 12% after appearing to reject overtures from potential acquirers. The Wall Street Journal reported this week that the company has received two bids, but instead plans to remain an independent institution.

Across the pond, things went smoothly overnight as well. Greece continues to work with creditors toward a settlement to avoid a disorderly default. The market knows that Greece, in some form, will be essentially defaulting on much of its debts, and is still treking higher. Expectations exist that the IMF and central banks will do what it takes to shore up liquidity in the global economy in such an event. Also, debt auctions in France and Spain went smoothly and did nothing to cause alarm.

In addition to being a heavy earnings day, Thursday packs a busy economic calendar. At 8:30 a.m. ET, consumer prices, housing starts and jobless claims will released. Last week we saw jobless claims come in higher than expected, breaking a recent trend of improvement in the employment picture. Revisions could take that number back above the closely-watched 400,000 level. Following those announcements, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia will report on January manufacturing activity.

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Scott Redler is long SPY, OIH, XLF, AAPL, NFLX, CSCO, QCOM, RIMM, LNKD, CROX, POT, RENN, WYNN, and GOOG calls, and VXX. Short DIA.
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