"Transformers" Dominates Holiday Weekend

By Bill Bonfanti Jul 05, 2011 11:30 am

Box office results for the weekend of July 1-4, 2011.



Transformers: Dark of the Moon from Paramount (VIA) and DreamWorks (DWA) dominated the Fourth of July weekend collecting an estimated $181.1 million since its launch on Tuesday evening through Monday. This was very close to my prediction of $175 million and only down 9.5% from the $200.1 million Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen accumulated during its first six days of release. Of course, the latest Transformers film also had premium tickets sales for 3D showings, a luxury the second film didn’t have. Nonetheless, it was a sizable debut for Dark of the Moon; the biggest of the year so far. This weekend’s other new films, Universal’s (GE) Larry Crowne starring Tom Hanks and Julia Roberts and 20th Century Fox’s (NWS) Monte Carlo both had mild debuts.

Overall, the Top 10 generated an estimated $185.8 million over the Friday to Sunday span, up a small 3.7% from last year when The Twilight Saga: Eclipse led the Top 10 to an overall total of $178.9 million. Two new comedies enter the marketplace this weekend; Sony’s (SNE) Zookeeper starring Kevin James and Horrible Bosses from New Line Cinema. Although both of these films should perform well, they will not have enough strength to lead the Top 10 to a win over last year when Despicable Me and Predators opened.

Transformers: Dark of the Moon collected an estimated $97.5 million over the Friday to Sunday portion of the holiday weekend and $116.4 million over the four days. Here’s a side by side comparison between the first six days of Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen and Dark of the Moon.



Dark of the Moon should be in for a massive drop next weekend, but due to stronger word of mouth for this installment, the fall may not be quite as big as the 61% tumble Revenge of the Fallen experienced during its sophomore weekend.

Larry Crowne from Universal collected an estimated $13.1 million over its first three days with a four day total of $15.7 million. This was a weak opening for the film considering the combined star power of Tom Hanks and Julia Roberts, but the target audience of adults over the age of 35 doesn’t usually tend to rush out to see films on their opening weekends. That same demographic was also likely distracted by the Fourth of July holiday. This could mean that Larry Crowne will have a strong hold next weekend and become a bit of a sleeper hit.
 
20th Century Fox’s Monte Carlo had a mild debut with only $7.4 million over three days and a four day total of $8.8 million. Star Selena Gomez had a similar result for last year’s Ramona and Beezus proving that she has a strong fan base of young girls who will follow her into different roles. That being said, with most of the fan base satisfied this weekend, Monte Carlo will likely disappear from theaters rather quickly.
< Previous
No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

  • All the News and Insights You Need Right in Your Inbox | Sign Up for Our Free Newsletter

WHAT'S POPULAR IN THE VILLE

Recommendations

MARKETS