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The United States Blues

By

235 years old and feeling it!

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First, some context: On the heels of our feline tragedy at the end of June, we made a family decision that no cat shall be left behind. We spend summer weekends out east, and our weekly car trip quickly morphed into a reality show of sorts. Four adults, twin seven-year olds, a newborn, two cats, and a kitten is a haul any way you slice it, but it's downright trippy trying to traverse the Long Island Expressway in rush hour!

Crash, who earned the respect and admiration of animal spirits the world over with his predictive stock market prowess, proved to be more than we could handle the first few trips. Not only did he chew through the cardboard carrier the first time, he busted out of our "industrial strength" solution the following week. Flummoxed, we finally followed the advice of our vet and gave him a sedative this last weekend. That was our first mistake.

He hasn't "talked" to us since. He refuses to make eye contact, he mopes around and with the exception of his exceptionally unique relationship with his new best friend "Petty," he hasn't been himself. Our vet tells us that he's suffering from depression, which I suppose isn't a shocker given the horror he recently witnessed.

We're all about the forward-looking lens in these parts, so I won't belabor the fact that the S&P is already 3% lower this week. I'm simply sharing this fare for those who care, and I'll give ye faithful the heads up when he again finds his stride. There will be no more pills; he's made his position quite clear.

My only hope -- on behalf of his emotional well-being, equity market performance, and the specter of world peace -- is that it isn't too late.

Some Freaky Friday Random Thoughts

  • Professor Conor Sen -- who broke the Groupon story two months before the mainstream media (here, and here) -- offers some sage insight as to what he foresees the rest of the year will bring.

  • Credit of a different breed -- that of credibility -- is the issue at hand for the markets at large. Always has been, always will be, and therein lies the risk of a pure fundamental (or technical, or structural) approach to risk-management.

  • I've long believed commodity volatility is a precursor to equity movement. While one day does not a market make, I'm keeping a close eye on gold and silver for clues to the fuse.

  • Key tells today include Apple (AAPL) ("cheap," but crowded), Google (GOOG) (same), Goldman (GS) (has the insider window opened yet?), the dollar (important juncture), and market internals.

  • After a few late day sell-offs, market players might be reticent to carry inventory into a thinning summer Friday. You can hear a margin call when it arrives; the ringer sounds a bit like this.

  • I love grandparents -- different conversation -- but if this is indicative of how the Raiders season is gonna go, I should just mail it in right now!

  • Have a great Friday and a fantastic weekend. You've surely earned it!

R.P.

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No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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