Pharma's Next Big Thing: Personalized Medicine
Who's who in the world of pharmacogenomics.
Frankly, it shouldn't. And the pharmaceutical industry is waking up to that fact.
Some pharma companies are beginning to make headway in tailoring medicines to the individual -- a smart move considering the industry stands to benefit by the billions of dollars.
According to a report released Tuesday by PricewaterhouseCoopers, pharmacogenomics -- or personalized medicine -- is already a $232 billion industry with the potential to grow by 11% annually, into a $450 billion business by 2015. Companies that make pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and diagnostics currently represent about $24 billion of the overall industry and can expect a rate of growth of 10% annually. The rest of the market is comprised of companies in telemedicine, health information technology, disease management services, as well as nutrition and wellness.
Pharmacogenomics determines the differences in every individual through the identification of certain proteins, genes, and metabolic indicators, and then uses those specific markers to customize drugs, determine specific courses of treatment, identify diseases in the early stages, and better modify drug dosages.
Personalized medicine is a great scientific achievement that could change the way the world receives health care, but it also means a major shift in the way the pharmaceutical industry does business. Big Pharma has already recognized that the days of blockbuster drugs that make a few billion dollars annually are over, and many of those drugs will lose patent protection in the next couple of years. Now, the sector is focusing on smaller niche drugs that will be more effective for the patient populations they treat instead of appealing to a mass market.
"Instead of getting a relatively small share of a really large pie -- the traditional blockbuster model -- a tailored therapy could expect to claim a relatively large share of a more segmented pie," said Eli Lilly (LLY) chairman John Lechleiter. "Repeat prescribing and patient compliance almost certainly would occur at a higher rate -- further supporting the economic case. The net results, in terms of sales, actually look quite favorable."
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and Sanofi-Aventis (SNY), the makers of the blockbuster blood thinner Plavix, had to face the reality that one of the best-selling drugs in the world (it brought in $4.5 billion in the first nine months of 2009) may not be effective in 30% of patients due to an abnormally functioning CYP2C19 gene that doesn't metabolize the drug properly. The Plavix label was revised in May 2009 to reflect this and help doctors who are prescribing the drug to patients.
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