Trading Radar: Will Greece Make It Through The Weekend?
Economics, earnings reports, and market events for the week ahead.
European finance ministers will be meeting on Wednesday for another emergency meeting to discuss the fate of the Greek bailout. Currently, they have told Greece that they are expecting another 325 million euros in cuts from the existing 3.3 billion that was agreed upon Thursday.
In the US, the Treasury will sell cash management bills for the first time ever, in order to meet temporary shortfalls. We also have housing data, which will be important as there has been widespread discussion on whether or not we have seen a bottom in the housing market. We also have the real inflation number for the US, which will be of interest since the Fed has deemed inflation to be under control.
Key earnings reports include Zynga (ZNGA), Metlife (MET), Marriot (MAR), Comcast (CMCSA) and Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF).
Monday, February 13
US Economics
No major reports scheduled
11:00 Fed to purchase $1.5b-$2.b notes in 25 to 30-year range
11:30 US to sell $33b in 3-month, $31b 6-month bills
Global Economics
23:30 JPY Industrial Production
23:30 JPY Capacity Utilization
5:00 Italy to sell EU8.5b 365-day, EU3.5b 127-day bills
5:15 Germany to sell EU4b 6-mth bills
9:00 France to sell up to EU2.2b 357-day, EU2.3b 175-day, EU4.2b 84-day bills
Earnings
Before: ARTC, DQ, DBD, DW, ISS, KVHI, MFA, ORBK, SRI
After: AERL, ASIA, CRL, CCM, CUTR, FIS, FFN, GPRO, HMA, HIMX, NSIT, LPS, LLNW, LPSN, MAS, NOAH, RAX, RGC, SGEN, SKH, TAL, TUDO, UCTT, USTR
Tuesday, February 14
US Economics
07:30 NFIB Small Business Optimism – consensus 95.0
08:30 Import Price Index MoM – consensus 0.3%
08:30 Advance Retail Sales – consensus 0.7%
08:30 Retail Sales Less Autos – consensus 0.5%
08:30 Retail Sales Ex Auto & Gas – consensus 0.5%
10:00 Business Inventories – consensus 0.4%
11:00 Fed to purchase $4.25b-$5b in 8 to 9-year notes
11:30 U.S. to sell $20b in 64-day cash management bills
1:00 U.S. to sell 4-week bills
Global Economics
JPY Bank of Japan Target Rate
02:45 EUR French Non-Farm Payrolls
04:30 GBP CPI
04:30 GBP Core CPI
05:00 EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Production
05:00 EUR ZEW Confidence Survey
04:30 Spain to sell 12-, 18-mo. bills
05:00 Italy to sell up to EU4b 6% 2014 bonds
05:00 Greece to sell EU1b 91-day bills
05:00 Italy to sell 3% 2015, 4% 2017 bonds
Earnings
Before: ACIW, AVLR, ARB, ABG, AVEO, AVP, BWA, CPLA, SCOR, CYNO, EXAS, FOSL, GNRC, GT, HCP, HSP, HST, LCAV, MMC, KORS, NGPC, OMC, ASGN, PNX, SPAR, TIN, TGH, TMS, TRP, UTHR, VAL, VNDA, WPI, ZBRA, ZIP
After: ACPW, ACC, ACAS, ACGL, AGII, BOBE, CHE, CW, DFG, EGP, ECHO, FTI, GTY, GIVN, HTS, HITT, INWK, JCOM, MASI, MIG, MET, NRP, MALL, PEET, QSFT, STR, RUSHA, SB, SAPE, STEC, SKT, TCRD, VMI, VELT, WTW, WSH, XNPT, ZNGA
Wednesday, February 15
US Economics
07:00 MBA Mortgage Purchase Index
08:30 Empire Manufacturing – consensus 14.50
09:00 Total Net TIC Flows
09:00 Net Long-Term TIC Flows – consensus $35.0B
09:15 Industrial Production – consensus 0.7%
09:15 Capacity Utilization – consensus 78.6%
10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index – consensus 26
2:00 FOMC Minutes
11:00 Fed to sell $8b-$8.75b notes in 1 to 2-year range
Global Economics
01:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders
01:30 EUR French GDP
02:00 EUR German GDP
04:00 EUR Italian GDP
05:00 EUR Euro-Zone GDP
4:30 Portugal to sell 371-day bills
5:30 Portugal to sell 91-, 182-day bills
Earnings
Before: ANF, ABD, ALE, AMRC, AAWW, ATRC, AVA, BXC, CVE, XEC, CMCSA, CNMD, CEG, DF, DE, DVN, DPS, FSRV, HSIC, ICON, INCY, ITT, JMP, MSA, NICE, NOR, NVMI, OC, PAG, P-NK, SCG, SIX, TLM, TEVA, VSI, VG, WSO, WCG, XUE, YTEC
After: AEA, A, AEM, AWH, CRMT, ACOM, ATHN, CAR, NILE, CBS, CTL, CF, CLWR, CLF, CRAY, DDIC, DENN, DUF, ETP, ETE, ENOC, ENSG, EQIX, DAVE, FRT, GG, HBI, HWAY, INSP, IPI, IO, ITRI, JAH, KALU, KGC, LGOM, MAR, WFR, MRGE, NCIT, NTAP, NTES, NQ, NPSP, NDA, OII, PLAB, RLOC, RNWK, RCKY, SKX, SF, TTGT, TEX, TSLA, CLUB, TRN, UAM, UFPI, VVC, VMW, Z
Thursday, February 16
US Economics
08:30 Producer Price Index – consensus 0.4%
08:30 PPI Ex Food & Energy – consensus 0.2%
08:30 Initial Jobless Claims – consensus 365K
08:30 Continuing Claims – consensus 3480K
08:30 Housing Starts – consensus 670K
08:30 Building Permits – consensus 680K
10:00 Mortgage Delinquencies
10:00 Philadelphia Fed – consensus 8.8
11:00 Fed to purchase $1.5b-$2b notes in 25 to 30-year range
1:00 U.S. to sell $9b 30-yr TIPS
Global Economics
04:00 ECB Publishes Monthly Report
04:00 EUR Italian Trade Balance
4:30 Spain to sell bonds
Earnings
Before: ABB, ACOR, AAP, AIMC, ECOL, APA, ARIA, ABX, BCRX, BRC, BBW, CAB, CBZ, CRDN, CRY, DTLK, XRAY, DTV, DISCA, DTE, DUK, ELNK, FVE, GM, GEL, HCN, HEP, HOS, HII, HUN, H, ICLR, SJM, DATE, KBW, KND, KOP, LBY, LTM, TAP, TYPE, NEW, OGE, OWW, PFCB, PCG, PNCL, POOL, PGN, RRGB, REGN, RS, SNH, SKYW, SPNC, SAVE, SPW, STFC, STC, STRA, SCMR, SYNT, TOWR, TSEM, TRW, UPL,ULBI, VFC, VCI, VDSI, VQ, WM, WST
After: ACTG, MDRX, AMAT, ARUN, BGS, BIDU, BMRN, BJRI, BCSI, WIFI, TEU, BKD, BLDR, BEAT, CHEF, CLD, COGO, CCSC, DVA, DDR, DMD, EHTH, EEP, EOG, FTR, GCAP, GGC, GFIG, KEG, KIOR, LEAP, MCHX, MXWL, NAVG, NTSP, NR, JWN, OIS, PRAA, PGI, QLIK, ROG, ROVI, SQI, CKH, SONO, SPWR, WOOF, WRE, WWWW
Friday, February 17
US Economics
08:30 Consumer Price Index – consensus 0.3%
08:30 CPI Ex Food & Energy – consensus 0.2%
08:30 CPI Core Index NSA – consensus 226.546
10:00 Leading Indicators – consensus 0.5%
11:00 Fed to purchase $4.25b-$5b notes in 6 to 8-year range
Global Economics
02:00 EUR German Producer Prices
04:30 GBP Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel
07:00 CAD CPI
08:30 CAD Leading Indicators
Earnings
Before: AGP, B, BAM, CPB, LSE, COT, DLR, ENB, ECA, RAIL, HNZ, H MSY, ZINC, KSWS, LPNT, LECO, MHR, NRF, PPC, POL, VTR, YGE
Twitter: @MichaelSedacca
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