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Best of the Exchange: Crude, Inflation and Market Meltdowns


Minyans make sense of oil and recent market action.


With the launch of The Exchange, Minyans now have a forum in which to express their viewpoints, comment on articles and meet other like-minded financial souls. Minyanville publishes "A Best of the Exchange" each Friday to highlight the many insightful posts and discussions going on behind the scenes.

Become part of The Exchange and let your voice be heard!

(Editor's Note: Some of the following posts may have been modified slightly from their original form.)

Prof. Payne commented on crude oil prices and gasoline supplies in Radical Solutions to Energy Crisis. Heated debate followed.

Minyan Rick: What the heck is wrong with accepting the fact that oil is the cheapest and best way to fuel our society?

Minyan Bacan: What is required is leadership. Do we want to benefit the oil
industry, or do we want to look out after the health of the general economy? If I was an oil company CEO, I would give a bunch of lip service, and rake in the profits.

Prof. Depew commented on the Federal Reserve and inflation in Special Five Things You Need To Know: Fed Worried the Jig is up? Minyans weighed in.

Minyan Michael: So the consumer will save the economy, but the workers getting paid enough to live will ruin it. Do the folks running this show realize that the worker and the consumer are the same people?

Minyan Vewin: I hope to fight for a 3.5% raise, but we were told don't expect anything over the next 18 months. Were else can I sell my labor for a higher rate in times of economic stress? So much for the consumption based free market economy.

Minyan James: Corporations with margin pressures have the wage flexibility to hold the salaries in line for 12 to 24 months before they start to see a serious erosion of the talent base given the current employment environment.

Prof. Harrison gave market advice in Recipe for a Market Meltdown. A discussion ensued.

Minyan David: Between this missive, Prof. Sedacca's offering, and Prof. Payne's, it would seem we are deep into bear season. Might I suggest it would be timely, and useful to the Minyan, if an article were posted discussing risk/reward in the context of playing the "bear side" of the market ?

Minyan Jim: In regards to inflation and deflation I believe we are going to be in a combo scenario where we have inflation on what we need such as oil, food and basics while having deflation on homes, recreation toys, commercial properties etc and stagflation on wages benefits and employment.

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No positions in stocks mentioned.

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