Doin' It Bloggystyle: Random Wild Things
Minyanville brings together the best of what they are saying "out there" about the topics we're talking about right here.
Blogs themselves need no introduction, as they get as much publicity as pretty much anything these days, save maybe the latest Britney news. There's an expanding world of excellent financial blogs, covering pretty much everything from global economics to swing trading. Minyanville's goal is to bring together the best of what they are saying "out there" about the topics we're talking about right here.
On the Couch
- Dr. Brett wonders if it's the Money Flow that keeps us going.
- And I would note, Dr. Brett will be replacing Matt Lauer on The Today Show on Thursday, assuming Matt gets detained in Havana.
- OK, I misread that, Matt's job is safe. Al Roker too. Dr. Brett going to be on a 7:30 AM personal finance segment with Jean Chatzky.
Fun With Charts and Numbers
- VIX and More finds some signals in the good old CBOE put/call ratio.
- Headline Charts takes a PnF look at the 10 Year and the dollar.
- Oil ETF's, courtesy of The Chairman.
- Kevin counters some Blue Nile bears.
- Options Trading Beginner takes an in depth look at Interactive Brokers (IBKR), the service.
- Value Blog Revue compares all the options brokers.
- A look back at some Cisco (CSCO) action in the late 90's, via dk Report.
- Some Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), and channeling MacGyver, from Jim Kingsland.
My Stab at Baseball Stat Geekery
- One of the more ridiculous contentions I keep hearing on radio is how much better off the Yankees are with Melky Cabrera playing center, Judas Damon DHing, and Jason Giambi out.
- But is it as ridiculous as meets the eye?
- My thought is that Giambi's bat is so much better, the fielding advantage having Melky over Damon in center can't possibly make up for it. Even with the "pitch to really hard contact and hope for the best" Yankee pitching.
- But it does offset, almost exactly. According to Baseball Prospectus, Giambi would produce about 0.2 more runs of offense each game over Melky, but Melky just about makes that up on defense. Throw in some unmeasurable baserunning edges (some speed is factored in, but not all) and the nod may go to Melky.
- Carrying that logic one step further, Giambi provides more offense than Damon, so actually the best lineup had Damon on the pine and Giambi at DH.
- Not what I expected to find.
- Of course the most sensible thing of all is to bench Abreu, put Matsui in right, Damon in left, Melky in center, and Giambi at DH.
- And no, I have no clue why I looked this up, I'm a Mets fan.
- OK, maybe there is a money angle. According to this playoff odds report, based on results, projections and adjusted for all sorts of stuff I cannot fathom, the Yankees have about a 10% chance of winning the AL East, with the Red Sox clocking in at 86%. Which almost exactly matches the *market* price at Tradesports.
- A better "play" is to go long the Indians. They have a 57% chance of winning the AL Central this year, vs. a *market* price of under 50%.
- Cavs and The Tribe. 2007 is going to go down as the Year of Cleveland. So advance congrats to Jordan Kahn.
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