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Cry Me A River

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There will always be components of the market-the thousand little pictures that make up the big picture-that provide risk definition and inherent clues.

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"Waaah! I just traveled 12 hours in first class all the back from Maui. I'm tired! Waaah!"
--
Charlie Mangano, overheard yesterday at MVHQ


They say that jet lag typically takes two days to abate. Along those lines and in that vein, I'm officially out of excuses as I shake the sand from my shorts and settle back on track.

It hasn't been the smoothest transition back to reality as we're smack dab in the midst of an office move (eat your heart out Weezie!) and juggling multiple initiatives on the media side. Still, and with a conscious nod to the flickering ticks, I offer the following thoughts:

  • The reaction to news is more important than the news itself. I couldn't find any traders willing to bet on the downside in front of last night's earnings and that, in and of itself, is an interesting (albeit somewhat nonsensical) tidbit. Once upon a time, traders used to buy the rumor and sell the news.

  • The financial media landscape is shifting before our very eyes. I've offered thoughts from the trading side and President Fish has shared his sharp digital perspective. Interesting commingling of perspectives, particularly in light of the recent mergers and (attempted) acquisitions.

  • Land Shark? Yeah, it could be worse.

  • Tell me something I don't know! The path of least resistance is higher as a function of the collective psychology coat-tailing the tape. Still, the next leg of our journey will be viewed through our technical lens with S&P 1530-50 above and S&P 1498 as a near-term, downside trigga (courtesy of Coops De Ville).

  • Under the hood, BKX 118 and XBD 260 remain levels of lore of piggies galore. There will always be components of the market-the thousand little pictures that make up the big picture-that provide risk definition and inherent clues.

  • Raise your hand if you've heard the phrase "new paradigm" before? Now, raise your other hand if you believe that all things are cyclical, from seasons to markets to moods. If you've got both hand raised, use any means necessary to click your mouse on this article, which assimilates all three. And please, we don't really wanna know how you poked the rodent.

  • A Reuters poll after Friday's jobs data showed all 18 primary dealers surveyed expected the Fed to hold steady this week, with 11 predicting its next move will be to cut rates. What they didn't say was "why," which is the question we aim to provoke in the city of critters.

  • We've long talked about the steady erosion of the middle class and the emergence of the "haves" and "have nots." It's hard to argue with that notion and equally difficult to diffuse the argument that the former is significantly skewing the economic data to paint a rosier picture than most Americans feels. With that said, I thought that Kru-Cat's Buzz on how to play this stray fray was particularly pertinent.


Time to hop over to the Buzz, Minyans-I'll see you there. As always, I hope this finds you will some jingle in your jeans and a smile on your puss.

No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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