Microsoft and Yahoo: Marriage of Convenience?

By Glenn Curtis Jan 23, 2009 8:15 am

With both companies struggling, time to revisit merger.



Unless you’ve been holed up in some cave (in which case you have issues I’m clearly not licensed to deal with nor inclined to address), you know that Microsoft’s (MSFT) second quarter came in $0.02 below expectations, and that its top line looked a bit light as well.

But what I don’t hear a lot of discussion about is whether or not this makes some sort of combination with Yahoo (YHOO) more or less likely. And frankly, I’m surprised.

Yeah, I know: CEO Steve Ballmer nixed the idea of wedded bliss. But what I don’t think he understands is that he doesn’t run the company single-handed - its shareholders are the ultimate arbiter. Am I being idealistic? Perhaps. But given the fact that the stock now trades at multi-year lows, I think shareholders are anxious for something big to happen to get the company out of this rut.

This -- in combination with the fact that Jerry Yang is out of the picture, and Carol Bartz (whom I almost always inadvertently call Bratz), is in the CEO spot -- seems to make a deal more likely. And her stock would certainly rise if she could open a dialogue.

Then there’s Mr. Icahn. With Yahoo’s stock in the tank and Icahn (and his entities) long some 50 million+ shares as of September 30th, I think he’s got to be chomping at the bit for a deal.

The potential stick in the eye, however, could be in the form of Bartz’s reported pay package: She'll reportedly receive "$1 million in base pay; an annual bonus that could exceed $4 million depending on performance; 5 million, 7-year options; annual equity grants (her 2009 grant will be worth $8 million; a $150,000 grant to cover advisory fees connected to her employment contract; and a $10 million equity grant."

In short, it seems like a pretty sweet gig - if she stays on board.

The bottom line: I think it’s just a matter of time until the desire for change on both sides causes the 2 to come together. Never say never.
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