Five Reasons Kellogg's Earnings Look Tasty

By Glenn Curtis Jul 29, 2009 12:35 pm

Company's exceeded expectations in 3 of 4 quarters.



I realize investors were a busy lot this past week with high-profile earnings announcements from Microsoft (MSFT), Netflix (NFLX), and Amazon (AMZN) -- to name just a few. But buck up because we have Kellogg’s (K) second-quarter release slated for later in the week.

Yeah, I know -- it’s not quite as sexy a story as the aforementioned companies. But I think the company deserves a solid glance nonetheless. Here’s what I like about Tony the Tiger & Co.:

1. From a big-picture standpoint, the company offers a host of other munchies beyond its “grrreat” cereals that folks are going to be buying a lot more of, given the fact that the macro picture is looking better.

2. I like its international bent. I know when people picture Kellogg, they see an American kid woofing down a bowl of cereal at a kitchen table. But just to give you a flavor of what the company really is, in the first quarter, a little more than 30% of its sales and about 31.9% of its operating profit came from outside the good ol' US of A. I dig the diversity, and there’s a lot of room to grow sales abroad.

3. You have to like the scoreboard: It's coming off a much-better-than-expected quarter where it blew out the Street estimate by a sweet nickel. And in the last 3 of 4 quarters it's exceeded Street expectations. It's certainly showing shareholders the money lately. As far as the quarter that's to be announced -- I believe it will at least meet or beat. The economy is doing better, and management knows this game. I'm sure it wants to keep the ball rolling and will be doing its darndest to make sure it puts up a good number.

4. It's expected to grow a bit more than 9% per annum (9.25% actually) in the next 5 years, and for a company of its size (the estimate is a little more than $12.6 billion in revenue this year), that’s not too shabby.

5. The announcement earlier in the year about a planned dividend bump-up sure looked sweet. As it is right now, the forward yield is a little over 2.8%. That’s what I call a little bonus action.

In case you were wondering, I’m also sweet on a couple of other food stocks, including Kraft (KFT), which I wrote about last month. The insider-buying in May gets my motor running, as does the dividend and the respectable multiple of expected earnings it trades at.

Conagra (CAG) is easy on the eyes, too. If it’s able to get a little wind at its back and crank through the high, it would get a lot of ink and attention.

Hey -- have a great day!
< Previous
  • 1
Next >
No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

WHAT'S POPULAR IN THE VILLE

Recommendations

MARKETS