Treasury Throws Good Money After Bad

By Andrew Jeffery Oct 14, 2008 10:10 am
$250 billion injection for banks misunderstands nature of the problem.
  • Share this article:
  • A- A A+

In recent testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson rejected the idea of the US government injecting capital into banks and taking preferred stock, suggesting that such an extreme measure would imply that the US banking system had failed.

"Some [say] we should just stick capital in the banks, take preferred stock in the banks. That's what you do when you have failure," Paulson said.

Houston, we have failure: Yesterday, after the markets closed, Paulson announced plans to just stick capital -- $250 billion, to be exact -- into the banks and take preferred stock.

According to the Wall Street Journal, 9 of our biggest banks will receive around half the total injection.
 

  • Citigroup (C): $25 billion
  • JPMorgan (JPM): $25 billion
  • Bank of America (BAC) and Merrill Lynch (MER): $25 billion 
  • Wells Fargo (WFC): $20 - 25 billion 
  • Goldman Sachs (GS): $10 billion 
  • Morgan Stanley (MS): $10 billion 
  • State Street Bank (SST): $3 billion 
  • Bank of New York Mellon (BK): $3 billion


The rest of the $250 billion will be divvied up among smaller, healthier institutions around the country.

What are the pro traders saying about your stocks?
Minyanville's Buzz & Banter- 14 day FREE Trial


Reports indicate that some of the banks balked at the injections, which include restrictions on executive pay and requirements to help struggling homeowners.

Careful not to dilute existing shareholders by buying common equity, Treasury will purchase preferred stock carrying a 5% dividend, that jumps to 9% after five years. This represents a significant discount, however, to the 10% return Mitsubishi Finance (MTU) is earning on its recent $9 billion investment in Morgan Stanley, and Warren Buffett is picking up from his stake in Goldman Sachs.

In conjunction with Treasury's plan, the FDIC announced it will guarantee senior unsecured debt issued by banks, making it easier for them to raise capital in private markets. The FDIC will also insure all non-interest bearing deposits, which are typically held by businesses.

< Previous
No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

(5)
2008-10-14 10:23:18
Good money becomes bad money
You can't solve the bad apple problem by adding more good apples to the barrel.
2008-10-14 10:29:42
Exactly
Andrew,

Agreed.

They should have let the market fall.

Locked doors and empty accounts would be a physical manifestation of the reality; too much debt not enough income.

Instead, they are delaying the inevitable.

"We have to do something" was a reason for destroying the stores of Jews in Germany, making them wear stars, and building an army.

It was also the reason for the communist revolutions; class and racial or religious warfare.

We have the ingredients here, and we are lacking individual accountability and consequences for choices for individuals and institutions.

You can't cure a debt crisis with debt anymore than you cure racism with racism or treachery with treachery.
2008-10-14 14:03:18
too much debt
A family knows how to cut back, with fewer meals out, no shopping runs at the mall, fewer trips to the store, and significantly fewer ski trips, vacations, etc. A county or state knows how or actually is forced to get it, by scaling back budgets in the face of declining revenues. The US government can issue more treasuries, the equivalent of printing money, and is not forced to pay down debt and tighten up budgets. The combined bailouts will not free up lending, they will only postpone what will be very bitter recognition in 2009 that the only cure for bad debt is to put it out in the open for everyone to see, call it a abject loss, and move on. Until this happens the wounds will continue to fester. Let all the debt merchants and those who took unconscionable risks fail. Those who took tolerable risk and still have assets will pick up the pieces and build a new system on top of the ashes of bad debt.
2008-10-14 18:20:32
revolution time
Unless they're interrupted by a revolution of another kind.

Hopefully it is not our kids shooting the parents and grandparents who put us in this place.
2008-10-15 12:46:58
Just Perhaps
Liquidity crisis vs. debt crisis

No question that the debt metrics have gotten to absurd levels.
However, within the realm of possibility is that sufficient liquidity is needed to float some boats until a portion of the debt can be devalued sufficiently via inflation. Gradual is usually the preferred path to the destination...
Subject:
Comment:
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.