Congress Tries To Put Out Housing Fire

By Scott Reeves Jul 10, 2008 10:15 am
Mortgage rescue plan cold comfort to Fannie, Freddie, homeowners.
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Foreclosures were 50% higher in June than they were a year ago. During this election year, Congress is prepared to throw billions in taxpayer money at the problem.

Nationwide, 252,363 homeowners received at least one foreclosure notice in June. But the total is down about 3% from May.

Congress is working on a mortgage rescue plan that includes $300 billion in new loans intended to provide homeowners with more affordable, fixed-rate mortgages. Arizona, California, Florida, Michigan and Nevada continue to have the highest foreclosure rates in the nation.

The House and Senate have yet to resolve some differences on the bill, including limits on loans the Federal Housing Administration may insure and Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) may buy and package into tradable securities. The Senate version of the bill sets the loan limit at $635,000; the House version is $730,000. Lawmakers may vote on the bill today.

President Bush has threatened to veto the bill.

Critics say the measure would plump the deficit and could lead to future tax increases. Worse, critics warn, failure would add a crushing burden to the federal debt, now about $9.5 trillion.

Congress created Fannie and Freddie to increase homeownership, and few would argue with that. Along the way, Congress has, in effect, bought campaign support with public money. Or at least that’s the way it’s worked out.

Fannie and Freddie have been pounded in the market, sending the stock into the teens from the $60s last October. Investors fear bigger losses are ahead as housing prices continue to swoon and defaults show no sign of slowing.

But analysts at Bear Stearns say Armageddon isn’t around the corner.

"Despite the prospect of rising credit costs and more negative first-quarter fair-value marks, we believe Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have more than enough capital and cash to meet their financial obligations. And new business should be more profitable given tighter underwriting and higher fees," Bear Stearns analysts said in a research note.

Bear Stearns was bailed out by Uncle Sam and JP Morgan Chase (JPM), which bought the investment for $10 a share house last spring.

Many first-time buyers don’t take the time to learn the basics of homeownership and quickly get into trouble. The key: Don’t over-estimate what you can afford and don’t rely on a real estate agent who has a vested interest in getting you into a house larger than your means. If you get a variable rate loan, be sure you understand when the rate resets and how much your monthly payment could increase.
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(4)
2008-07-10 16:34:20
bureaucrats...
The people of this country as so stupid, they fail to realize it was government that created this problem. Government destroys the free market, picks favorites, and the well connected benefit at the expense of everyone else. Then they create this class warfare mantra about how the rich don't pay enough, or how they are going to help the little man out by destroying the value of his savings in order to buy more votes, perpetuate government theft, and repeat the process until this nation is sucked dry and the government steals this country right out from under us.
2008-07-10 16:47:57
why not solve the problem from the demand side?
I perceive the great US housing crisis of 21st century as a result of conflicts between globalization and protectionism/anti-immigration.
in a nutshell, US economy is more dependent upon foreign imports due to globalization. foreign holders of US dollar need a way to recycle them back to US to keep the game going; however, current Washington politicians have betrayed the pro-immigration spirit of this nation to the point that it's extremely hard to move wealth into this country in the form of investment.

if we were to respect true FREE market principles and willing to solve the housing crisis by tackling the demand side issue, rather than being stuck in the mud of financing, then the way out of this crisis is simple:

allow foreign investors of all kinds and forms to bring their cash to US , so they can buy residential properties, commercial buildings, small business and more importantly LIVE in this once great country, thus contributing to the continuous consumer demand !

forget the ridiculous immigration law and terrorism worry as 99% of foreign investors are NOT Bin-Ladens.
2008-07-10 17:51:27
why not solve the problem from the demand side?
If even as many as 1% of the foreign investors ARE bin Ladens, letting several million foreign investors in as citizens results in several tens of thousands of bin Ladens.

I assert that would be a Bad Thing.
2008-07-11 11:39:11
One thing many people fail to grasp when they go out to buy a house is that their mortgage broker is NOT their fiduciary. Many really crappy loans were sold on the basis of this misunderstanding. Let's face it: a mortgage is a very complicated thing when someone presents Mr. & Mrs. wide-eyed first-time homebuyer with their document package while they're salivating over their tricked-out McMansion with the hand-scraped floors and granite counters. It's quite easy in that moment for the broker to adopt the pose of someone who's "on your side" and will "guide you through the complexities of the process," and so forth.

Clearly, lots of homebuyers did not do their own due diligence, or bought into the prevailing wisdom that real estate only rises in value, or believed that they would get raise after raise (and that their other costs would never rise) so they could "stretch" to buy their dream house. This is absolutely the responsibility of buyers who overreached. There's no question in my mind that these people had a lot of help along the way, though, sometimes from more knowledgable people who were unscrupulous at best, and perhaps in some cases even criminal at worst.

Paulson today apparently said that Fannie & Freddie should continue in their present form. Given that this guy is Treasury Secretary, and given that this is the same guy who said the subprime issues were "contained" in 2007, it is readily apparent that he's lying. Look for the bailout or full nationalization to come within weeks to months.
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