Monday Morning Quarterback: A Reemergence of Global Risk
Will cooler heads prevail in Middle East?
It was the final weekend of the year and that can only mean one thing-the NFL playoff schedule is set. The cast includes many teams expected to be in the hunt-the world champion New York Football Giants, the resurgent Indianapolis Colts, the suddenly dangerous San Diego Chargers, the Carolina Panthers and the Pittsburgh Steelers will all continue forward in quest of the trophy.
Consistent with the upside down year that has been 2008, we've also seen our fair share of surprises. The Miami Dolphins, 1-15 last year, will be in the hunt after the greatest turnaround in NFL history. The Tennessee Titans somehow boast the best regular season record. The Arizona Cardinals and Atlanta Falcons, both upside surprises, will square off in an NFC wild-card game on Saturday.
And there are the side-note stories, those left off the front pages but top of mind for diehard fans. The Lions were perfectly imperfect, losing sixteen games for the first time in history. Brett Favre's Jets missed the cut and validated Bill Parcels, Tony Sparano and Chad Pennington in one fell swoop. And of course, my Raiders avenged their Super Bowl XXXVII loss to the Bucs by knocking them out of this year's hunt.
Someone once said that revenge is a dish best served cold. After 7 years and a combined 24-72 record, the Silver and Black will take what they can get. Mediocrity typically doesn't warrant celebration-or draft picks, for that matter-but given this year, in football and the markets, we've learned to be thankful for what we have rather than lament what we don't.
War of the Worlds
Over the weekend, while scouring through my weekend reading, I stumbled across a chart of the XLE (Energy SPDR). The slow, sideways slither under the underbelly of support screamed "churn," or the working off of an oversold condition as a function of time rather than price.
Click to enlarge
Legitimate reasons for lower energy prices have been well documented in these parts, highlighted last spring when crude was hovering around $140/barrel. Deflation, demand destruction and the specter of the worst global economic environment of our lifetimes combined to create a perfect storm for Texas Tea.
Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at email@example.com.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Daily Recap Newsletter