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Volatility On the Rise

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Our professors and partners have come from as far away as Australia to contribute their wisdom and guidance. Throughout the next two days we will be highlighting some of their ideas on managing risk and staying in the game as catalysts for discussion.

Approach:

- Weldon Financial combines instincts honed by more than 20 years in the trenches, with an intense daily dissection of macro/micro economic data from around the world, and, a robust technical overlay utilizing momentum, volatility, and inter-market analysis to offer a top-down thematic macro viewpoint. This provides the basis for a more in-depth strategic approach, in terms of trading ideas.

- The firm covers all the major global capital markets, including foreign exchange, fixed-income, stock indexes, stock sectors and ETFs, precious and industrial metals, petroleum, and agricultural and tropical commodity markets. Moreover, Weldon 'dissects' all the corresponding input, as relates to the top-down macro-perspective, defined by data from around the world, provided by central banks, government agencies, the 'trade', other researchers and the media.

- Weldon Financial incorporates and 'utilizes' both, a short-term trading view/approach, and a long-term macro-overview/approach.

Key themes:

- Steel Cage Death Match: monetary reflation versus debt deflation risk

- Paper Burning: monetary debasement of paper wealth

- Commodity Conundrum: secular bull markets in natural resources provide a conundrum for global monetary authorities, amid deflating real income.

- Shrinking Crumb: Co-dependency between U.S. housing-reflated consumers, and global exporting economies, leads to environment of disinflation amid the intensified competition to maintain market share.

Outlook for the financial markets:

- Volatility in the world, emotionally, physically, geometrically, mentally, in almost every way shape and form is on the rise, in many cases exponentially, except in the measures of market volatility.

- This is a convergence for the ages, one that will most likely be reconciled by a spike in market volatility, at some point in time, probably the result of a bursting global wealth bubble, probably catalyzed by an end to U.S. housing reflation.

Thoughts on controlling risk and staying in the game:

-Patience, Patience, Patience ... I am almost always early to a theme.

If I could give one piece of advice to attendees...

- Know when to hold 'em, and know when to fold 'em. Either move can be an equally strong one, at the right time.

Or, if I could give three pieces of inter-related advice to attendees ...

- Never underestimate the sheer power and force of excess liquidity.

- Likewise, never underestimate the ability of 'officialdom' to be creative, in terms of ways to avoid pain, and perpetuate the debt-driven global wealth bubble.

- But, do not for a second believe that 'officialdom' will be forever successful in keeping the bubble intact. It will burst, someday, regardless of what officialdom does.


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No positions in stocks mentioned.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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