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Bullish Quarters Could Be Ahead




-Doctor J & his brother Pete have developed proprietary algorithms and metrics that pinpoint unusual activity in the options of stocks and indices.

-Using these tools they created, they run in live time, searches for buying and selling imbalances that frequently tips them and their subscribers off as to takeovers, guidance upgrades, earnings surprises etc.
-As forensic option experts, they compare daily, weekly and monthly trading patterns against what their systems, Distant Thunder, Heat Seeker and Doc's Blocks highlight as unusual activity.

Key themes:

-Access to information is not even on Wall Street. Those with the access to what they claim to be premium information, usually charge a fortune for it and many times they aren't even selling anything that is truly unique.
-Those with access to non-public information often referred to as insider information, frequently act (trade) on this information at prices that represent a significant discount or premium to what the stock would be trading for if said information were widely distributed.
-At, we track action in the call and put options that suggest to us that individuals may be acting on this type of information and we pass this on to our subscribers.
-All of our trades are catalyst driven. That catalyst is most frequently the unusual activity in call or put options, but could also include known events such as earnings announcements, product introductions, industry trade shows, and litigation settlements.

Outlook for the financial markets:

Given the low interest rate, high-growth environment, we see the potential for several quarters of bullish activity. Energy is a concern, but our outlook is for crude oil in the $50 - $64 range for the next 12 months. Given that the market has been tolerant of prices in this range, we don't foresee this being any bigger factor for the next 12 months than it has been for the previous 12.

Thoughts on controlling risk and staying in the game:

-Set your exit points prior to entry.
-Adjust your stops and or roll up your put protection as market conditions dictate.
-Take advantage of surprise market moves; don't be taken advantage of by them.

Outside reading:

-How I Trade Options, Jon Najarian
-Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
-The End of Certainty, Ilya Prigogione
-Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and
-Techniques, Sheldon Natenberg
-Options as a Strategic Investment, Lawrence McMillan
-The Purpose-Driven Life: What on Earth Am I Here For?, Rick Warren

If I could give one piece of advice to attendees...

Have a plan when you invest. Take in as much as you deem necessary prior to making an investment, then plan how the trade will work under all known circumstances. If the market goes your way when will you exit? If the market works against you, where will you cut bait? How long will this trade be on for? If you can't answer any and all of these questions, don't do the trade!

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No positions in stocks mentioned.
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