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Random Thoughts

By

Cowabunga!

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  • Where's KITT when it counted?

  • Why is it when i hold a freshly minted $20 in my hand I think of Elmer?

  • I've heard of west coast swingers but this is a bit much.

  • Most everyone I read this morning is pointing to various reasons for a continued market rally (TRIN, put/call, momentum)--and it could happen--but try and project ourselves into the future and look back. IF (big if) the Minx fails, we'll point to the light volume rally, geopolitical uncertainty and more hawkish (yet subtle) Fed.

  • Get dressed Daisy--we're puttin' ya to work!

  • What the heck is a "net" carb?

  • Why do they call it a medicine ball?

  • Elmer opined earlier that he is "prepared to do what is required" but that 'ample' Fed liquidity is "increasingly unnecessary." He also offered that the "measured pace" of rate increases will suffice but is a function of economic developments. With regard to Carrie, he said that her unwinding is "notably underway" and that the secondary markets have adjusted accordingly. Our bespeckled Fed chief further opined that deflation concerns are now "safely behind us," energy prices (while 'worrisome') are "unlikely" to see "significantly higher" price levels. He added some constructive verbiage regarding payroll growth and business confidence but stopped short of assuring that I would get down to 200 lbs by my birthday.

  • Jimmy's sweet on you!

  • We've got two new studs coming to the Minyanville pasture. Greg Weldon (who has terrific macro insight) and Neal Dingmann (energy maven) will soon be pennin' their educational vibes for critters and Minyans alike. We pride ourselves on the quality (not quantity) of our content and take me at my word--these guys are awesome!

  • There is a rumor that Billy Meehan was late today because he lost his hair.

  • "Politics is not a bad profession. If you succeed there are many rewards, if you disgrace yourself you can always write a book."-Ronald Reagan

  • Watch the metals as the "liquidity fear" proxies please. Technical resistance remains around gold $400 and silver $6.20.

  • BKX 98. Know it. Live it. Love it. Watch it.

  • If you're not reading the Buzz, you're missing a ton of content.

  • "Oh yeah, I started out mopping the floor just like you guys. Then I moved up to washing lettuces. Now, I'm working the fat fryer. Pretty soon I'll make assistant manager, and that's when the big bucks start rolling in."

  • Stay humble or the market will do it for you.

  • Shana Punim!

  • Interesting read.

  • Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

  • If you haven't read Susan Wein to your mini-Minyans, you're missing a fine trade!

  • There are two distinct gaps below (as a function of the higher openings last week). Keep those in the back of your mind for future reference.

  • Stay tuned for further information on the August 20-22 Minyan Mountain Minglefest in Crested Butte. We're still ironing out some details (including cost) but should have something for you in the coming week.

  • The retailers trade dry. So do Yahoo! (YHOO:NASD) and Microsoft (MSFT:NASD).

  • I'm psyched to finally have Billy Meehan officially on board. If you wanna welcome him to the fold, feel free!

    R.P.
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