Fare ye well into the bell!
It's not funny when you come to work late
You have the key to the office, and the boss had to wait
It's not funny making money on a regular basis
And losing every dime betting on the races
The afternoon flicks are up to their tricks as the traders all trade and the critters transfix. I've now started this column four times but the tape is moving quicker than peanut M&M's on my nightstand. That, so you know, is why I prefer the Buzz for trading stuff and the News for broader picture pieces. I'm a fairly fast typist but the Minx, as we know, is pretty quick herself.
The whippy action today is (without question) being exacerbated by the underlying expiration currents. Negative gamma, in a nutshell, means that dealers are short volatility (calls and puts). As the market rallies, their short call deltas increase and they must buy stocks (higher) to hedge themselves. As the tape tanks, their short puts kick in (and their short calls lose value) and they must sell (lower) to balance their books. Add a ton of zeros to the end of this equation and the puzzle starts to fit together.
Today's lift was sparked by Asia and the prospect of a sustained (and prolonged) China bull. You know what they say about a bull in a China shop--it's only a matter of time before something breaks--and I suspect that the same will be true for the China "plays." I suppose this includes stateside equities and, to a degree, the metals but the question remains one of degree, public perception and structural influences. So you know--and if you care--I remain long silver (although I made some sales today vs. my cheaper buys) as my reason for owning it is independent of the above mentioned reasoning (I think the dollar is FUBAR).
We've got a spate of overnight earnings, a breakfast meeting with Beeks (initial jobless claims exp. 325k, continuing claims exp. 2950k) and a circle back at lunch (Philly Fed exp.31). Yawners one and all, I'm sure, as the force du jour will remain the option posturing. We also have overnight unknowns (geopolitical) and the oh-so-important psychology metric (today's close massively important) so keep those on your radar as well.
I am gonna jump, juggle and ready for my 4:00 meeting. I woke up this morning feeling pretty snazzy but my back has gotten increasingly painful throughout the day (trading on its lows). I can almost hear my mother now--take care of yourself!--but this is the big leagues, Ma, and we gotta play in pain. Hey, maybe I can get Daisy to give me a rub down after dinner tonight?
Good luck into the close and may peace be with you.
Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at email@example.com.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Daily Recap Newsletter