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Cow Chow Chow!

By

Oh behave!

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Hello cowgirl in the sand
Is this place at your command?
Can I stay here for a while?
Can I see your sweet, sweet smile?


(Neil Young)



The afternoon fray is finding its way as the critters all search for something to say. Despite some fright in the beta space (note the homies as they pin HGX 480), Hoofy has managed to put on a brave face for the better part of the session. The NYSE breadth and traction in the financials support a firm close but-again-a slew of resistance looms above. It starts with NDX 1500ish but the true test rests shortly thereafter.

It's quite possible that the fundamentals (starting with Alcoa (AA)) will tip the scales either way as an avalanche of earnings is set to start. Therein lays the importance of properly weighing the four primary metrics (fundies, technicals, psychology, structural). The macro noise has been at the forefront of the trading radar as General Motors (GM), Amer Int'l (AIG) and Aunt Fannie (FNM) have reminded us of the fragility of the financial fabric. It's important to remember that these elements are "out there" (regardless of the picture that corporate America paints) and demonstrate discipline through a proactive risk-profile.

The last few sessions have been low volume affairs and while that may be a function of the fantabulous east coast weather, the "hands over eyes" assessment is traditionally bearish. Whenever you have selling of serious merchandise followed by light lifts into resistance, it typically means that another wave will be paved through Red Dye. The fact that alotta catalysts remain to be seen only adds uncertainty to an already uncertain tape.

As it stands, Boo has been patient as he awaits S&P 1200 and he's not getting chopped up (for a change). The other side of the coin, of course, is that he could be implementing a strategy that scales into downside exposure with a "stop" above his technical framework. The risk he faces is missing his trade but he knows, as do we, that opportunities are made up easier than losses. It doesn't matter how many trades we make, Minyans, it only matters that we have a high percentage on the trades we choose to make.

Fare ye well into the bell and have a very peaceful night.


R.P.
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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