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Small-Cap Still Leads


Whatchu talkin' about I need a breather?


A look at the SP 600 and SP 500 paired relationship...

Continuing the theme of the past few years, small cap stocks are the true leaders in this market:

The above chart shows the S&P 600 (Small Cap) Index relative to the S&P 500 Index. The higher this plot goes, the more small cap issues are outperforming large cap issues. The choppiness of this paired relationship shows extreme trending at this time – well ahead of this pair's seasonal upturn in April and May.

The market has done well during this period. Short-term, the market still has to get through to mid-April, when seasonality turns positive. The market needs a breather, or it may be out of breath by the time mid-April rolls around. That said, the market's ability to hold things together makes the Armageddon scenario unlikely.

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No positions in stocks mentioned.

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