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Holding the Wall




"I run my unit how I run my unit. You want to challenge me, roll the dice and take your chances. I eat breakfast 300 yards from 4000 bulls who are trained to kill me, so don't think for one second that you can come down here, flash some green, and make me nervous."

Col. Boo Jessup, overheard during a conversation with Sgt. Hoofy

It's a jammin' morning in Minyanville, friends, so this post is gonna have to be a quickie. The obvious driver behind this early greenage is the prospect that the Iraqi regime is (or will soon be) completely dissolved. While that's likely an inevitable event, we must also understand that this morning's expiry is playing a role in the price action. I will further offer that IF the tape is to sell off today, a spiky morning was a necessary element.

Overnight corporate news includes AMAT's CEO saying that decision making on I.T spending is "frozen," State Street Bank (STT) and INTU preannounced negatively, Bear upgraded ERTS, Merrill punted HON, Solly cut numbers and price target in MU and Deutsche Bank dumped EMC.

I currently have three appendages in my metaphorical bear costume (75% conviction on the short side) and I'm eyeing the final arm for a trade. While it's possible that this is the SHAM (stiff lift) we've long discussed, I would expect--at the very least--a corrective consolidation. Boo just opined that the day's high will be seen this morning but I told him to relax--it's a long day.

If you haven't read Tony's morning piece, please do so now--it's a great illustration of our current juncture. And THANK YOU, my friends, for the insane feedback on Charlotte-Anne and Brian. We've been very careful to find worthy Minyans and these two definitely pass the smell test. Keep your eyes peeled in the weeks ahead--I think you're gonna be pleasantly surprised by what you see.

Hit 'em hard.
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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