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Scare Tactics

By

Watch that dollar, baby!

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The opening bell tolls and as I watch traders kick the schnitz out of each other, I'm listening to Snoop Tone on CNNfn. I'll tell ya, I've got a face for radio but Tony very well could have missed his calling. What a screen presence! Couldn't you picture him as Jules Winfield's partner in crime in Pulp Fiction? Maybe he can play Sonny in Dog Day Afternoon? How about as a Shining star? "Heeeeeeeeeeeere's Tony!"

The TRIN debate continues to rage and, for the most part, I've removed it from my process. I've made some calls and, from what I can tell, neither the TICK (or the volume) supported their technical cousin and smart cookies I know are discounting it's importance. Can we still lift? Absolutely--but if you're only reason for being long is TRIN-related, be careful.

A check of the morning breadth shows winners beating losers 3:2 in the NYSE and flat as a pancake in the Nazz. The teas leaves aren't offering compelling tells and I continue to scan the landscape (both ways) for opportunities. Do I think there's significant downside risk from here? Yep. Do I think it starts right here, right now? I'm unsure...which is why I'm doing a bit less.

Nokia warned and is now up on the day and that, along with the dollar strength that just emerged, could buoy psychology. Watch that greenback, friends, it's THAT important.

Good luck--and keep that right hand up.

No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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