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The Town Trier


Watch those two-day gips, baby...they'e starting to give way!


When I awoke, the Dire Wolf
Six hundred pounds of sin
Was grinnin' at my window
All I said was "come on in"

(Grateful Dead)

You want to see something trippy? Pull up a five-day chart of the S&P and NDX (for Bloomberg users, that's a 5 day gip) and draw a trendline from Friday's lows through today's trading. Am I the only one who's seen these indices hold that line seven times? Those are the charts I've left up on my terminals and, as long as they hold, the market should hang in there. If they break the slope, however, the sell-side pressure should begin to pick up in pace. So you know.

The tape continues to grind higher and--SHOCKER--my IM indicator is beginning to get more bullish. I understand the sirens get louder during the green seas but please, Minyans, respect the price action but don't defer to it. There's more than one way to skin a Minx and our goal is to view prices as an opportunity. For me, that means that stocks become relatively less attractive after a rally, not more.

With that said, I'm quite conscious that there may be a bit more to Hoofy's hilltop and, as such, I'm scaling gingerly (not MaryAnn). I added a leg into my fur in and around here and now I'll wait. The stochastic buy signals continue to taunt me but, as you know, I'm not biting (yet). What I DO have to do is identify an appropriate stop out level for our bearish imagery and as soon as I peg one, you'll be the first to know.

Tonight's earnings are pretty light but they'll begin to pick up in the morning (ALA, CB, CL, EMR, ect). In addition, Monsieur Beeks will drop off factory orders (exp. .3%) and the conference schedule continues in full force. Aside from the Weisel tech fete (ORCL, MOT, VRSN, NT, MCHP, BRCM, ELX, CLS, PSFT, FDRY, KLAC, SANM, EXTR, ect), there's a Goldman transport gig (UAL, LUV, CAL, NWAC), a Lehman industrial party (TXT, HON, JCI, PH, LEA, F, DHR) and healthcare appointments at UBS Warburg and Merrill Lynch.

Once again, I wanted to thank the faithful Minyans for their kind support and words of encouragement. I'm happy to report that we've blown away our initial expectations with regard to the first day's citizenship! We understand that this is only a first step and we take our commitment to you, our readers, very seriously. Please continue to offer your feedback on how we can better ourselves and if you like what you're seeing, we'd humbly ask you to tell all your friends about your new community. In the immortal words of Snoop Doggy Dogg, "It's aaaaaaall goooood."

Good luck into the close.

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No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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