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Random Thoughts


Playin...playin' in the band. Day Break, day break on the land...


  • A picture is worth a trillion words.

  • Semiconductor analysts are trading scared.

  • The other side of a bubble is....

  • "Given the abysmal 12-month performance of notable trend followers published this weekend in Barrons, it's unlikely that this market will yield returns easily. Look for additional follow through from the 1130 breakout, but it too is an obvious breakout level that may prove too simple for this complex market. The best strategy is to grind out returns where others fail to focus, or are locked into directional thinking." --Lehman's aptly named technical analyst Jeff DeGraaf.

  • We asked the question during Friday's Buzz if the metals were setting themselves up for a bummer today (on the heels of the G7). Sure 'nuff, gold is off almost $6 while silver burps 2.5%. The dollar, for its part, continues to grind higher (+1%).

  • Critter road trip?

  • Citigroup (C:NYSE) and Microsoft (MSFT:NASD) are two flies in today's big cap ointment.

  • Sante Fation.

  • The action in the cyclicals, trannies and small caps continue to embolden Hoofy.

  • Most of my option positions are "out months." The tick top and drip drop is too "gun to head" unless it's a pure punt.

  • During last year's ALCS, I opined that the 2004 could be the year of the Red Sox. And while it pains me to write that, I wanted to "put it out there" with hopes that I'm dead wrong.

  • XBD 130 remains an uber-important line in the sand.

  • If you're an active Minyan and you're not on the Buzz..... dude.... please get with the program!

  • "The indices are off to the best quarterly start since Q4 2003. For today's trade, I ran several analogs based on Friday's action and then stipulated a higher open today. The bias is for a higher close but this morning's gap open remains suspect. The results suggest at least a 75% probability of "filling the gap" and an equally high probability of closing positive. Remember that last quarter's high in the SP futes was 1140.40. Past performance does not indicate future results."--Jason Roney on today's Buzz.

  • T-minus sixteen days. Time for a second wind!

  • The election has brought out the bias in the various mainstream media channels.

  • This is an interesting exchange between all-star guitar signee Bill Gross and Morgan uber-strategist Stephen Roach.

  • The Texans? THE TEXANS?!?

  • I have always used technical analysis as an input rather than an absolute guide. It offers a fantastic framework with which to operate but they're but one of my four primary metrics (fundies, psychology, structural).

  • How 'bout that horse?

  • Our newest Minyanville scribe, Bernie Schaeffer, will be joining Succo and I for our weekly mind-meld on Wednesday.

  • Rosalita, jump a little lighter...

  • Thanks kindly to the Minyanhood for their good vibes on the critter's second birthday. We've grown together and I look forward to many more years and a lot more smiles.

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Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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