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Random Thoughts


Despite the green seas, the most recent series of lower highs and lower lows is still in tact.


  • How come we choose from just two people for President and fifty for Miss America?

  • The "consumer over cyclical" (relative outperformance) should begin to pick up as we edge towards '04.

  • Debra Winger was one of the voices for E.T.

  • The NDX pulled back to unchanged (and filled the opening gap). Does that count as a probe?

  • The NYSE breadth is 4:1 positive. Boo will be hard pressed to make a mess unless that starts to slip.

  • There were "buy stops" in the S&P above 1005 (Monday's high). That was the pop.

  • One year. Man--what a long strange trip it's been.

  • The dollar is still slippy but the shorts are now looking over their shoulder for Mr. Intervention.

  • When was the last time you went to a batting cage?

  • When I was on CNBC a little over a month ago, I (humbly) opined that a dollar crisis would spark the unwind of the various bubbles (debt, derivative, housing, psychology) and trap the individual investor (who's been "squeezed" into the market by Elmer). I stand by that call.

  • Congrats to Professor Bill Fleckenstein on the launch of his new website!

  • Who determines if a person is important enough to be considered an assassination rather than a murder victim?

  • Coincidence that the "master beta" stocks are coming for sale now that the quarter-end games are over? I think not.

  • The uncanny Minx/Jinx relationship continues. If the pattern holds (no guarantee that it will), the S&P will waffle around these levels for most of October and then plunge 20%.

  • There is a fine line between intervention and manipulation. It's called "communication."

  • I will be out Friday as I'll be traveling to an eagerly anticipated hugfest (with my niece and nephew) in Baltimore.

  • Minyan Trivia: Who was the only player in baseball history to score 100 runs and have 100 RBI, 100 walks, 40 doubles, 40 homers, 20 stolen bases and a 300 avg in a single season? The first correct answer wins a snazzy new Minyanville tee!

  • Welcome PENN Minyans!

  • Are we basing...or churning?

  • Jason posted at 3:02 am. Dude, I've got one word for you. Ambien.

  • Patience is very difficult, particularly when the Minx is on the move. Pick your spots and channel the emotions to your loved ones.

  • The choppy and sloppy day-to-day action is taxing. If you've got a big picture bent, let the noise filter through and use prices to your advantage.

  • Strive to be happy.
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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