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Random Thoughts


If you don't jump on the gravy train soon, Toddo, you're gonna get trampled by the stampede!


  • A flea can jump 350 times it's body length (that's like a human jumping the length of a football field). And no, I did NOT see this first hand in Oakland.

  • The breadth has reversed and is meandering (marginally) negative.

  • While it's clearly beneficial to identify the "stream" when trading, it's quite possible--albeit more difficult--to make money as the salmon.

  • Some lions mate over 50 times a day. Hey, they should talk to the pig!

  • Emily Cohodes--remember that name. She'll be a Pulitzer prize candidate in 40 years.

  • Pull up a six month chart of the S&P--we're still tickling that downtrend line but we've yet to break out.

  • I'm quite conscious that the stochastics are better directional instruments (vs. timing instruments) and we've all seen them pretzel twist at times. While the "pop and drop" thesis (false breakout) infers some salty times ahead, I prefer to wait and bait rather than play for the incremental upside. Of course, that's just me.

  • The Oakland Raiders have the best fans in the N.F.L.

  • Fokker has never seen a cranky Toddo...until today!

  • The FTSE is now down on the day.

  • My work shows the CMR (consumers), CYC (cyclicals), BKX (banks), DJIA (Dow Jones), NDX (nazz) and SPX (S&P) all overbought...and the SOX is getting there.

  • Little Wing and Blackbird are two of my all-time favorite songs.

  • If you're a new reader, let me repeat my view on when THE market bottom will come. The opposite of love isn't hate, it's apathy. When everybody stops trying to call a bottom and investors are indifferent, the market will bottom. Of course, we'll have bullish phases, trends and nuances in the interim...but THE cycle turn is another story.

  • E.P.M.D never got the respect they deserved as a rap group.

  • If you could have a round of golf with any foursome in history, who would you choose?

  • I'm hearing mixed things on the fundy front but, generally, I think December was decent vs. expectations. The question becomes 1) what's already baked into these levels and 2) what's the outlook going forward. Cautious optimism is expected (shocker) but I'm wondering when the street starts to question the credibility of the companies who've been saying the recovery is imminent--for the last two years!
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