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Trading Radar: Tech Earnings to Set the Tone Next Week


Economics, earnings reports, and market events for the week ahead.

US equity markets had another roller coaster in the week that just passed, but Tuesday's midday reversal appears to be holding, which could take the benchmark S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) back up to its record highs. Two of the more beaten down sectors, tech and biotech, both began making solid bottoming formations on Tuesday and look like they will continue higher.
In the week ahead we get the rest of the major home sales data and the durable goods report. Investors will be watching to see if pent-up demand from the cold January and February months was indeed released in March. The April Philadelphia regional manufacturing index (released Thursday) showed that there are continued optimistic signs in that sector of the economy.
New home sales have plateaued since reaching a peak in the spring of 2013, largely due to a 1% increase in 30-year conventional mortgage rates with no offset in income growth. The annual rate of new home sales in 2012 averaged 368,330 per month (at a seasonally adjusted annual rate). That figure rose substantially, to 431,330, in 2013. However, the past 12 months have seen sideways growth in home sales. The annual rate of existing home sales has dropped by 14.5% since its peak in July of last year, largely due to record low inventories in the past year. Inventory has improved and is now back up to 5.2 months of supply from the low of 4.4 months in January 2013. The number of all-cash buyers in the markets has increased, displacing first-time buyers, presumably due to the increase in mortgage rates. Distressed sales, which include foreclosures and short sales, are down however -- they now represent 16% of total sales versus 25% a year ago.
March durable goods orders are scheduled to be reported next Thursday. Durable goods orders excluding transportation are expected to rise 0.5% month-on-month after rising 0.2% in February. If that is to be the case, durable goods shipments, which make up 7.4% of annual US GDP, will rise by 0.76% in the first quarter.
There is not much scheduled on the global agenda as the important releases occurred this week. One report to note is Japan's March consumer price index scheduled for Thursday night. It will likely show a pickup in prices since Japanese consumers pulled forward a large number of basic goods purchases in March knowing that a sales tax hike was on the agenda for April.
Another busy earnings week is on tap after the season officially kicked off this past Wednesday. Two hundred and one major US companies are scheduled to report next week, and most of them are tech-based. Additionally, more than half of the companies in the Nasdaq Biotech Index (INDEXNASDAQ:NBI) are scheduled to report. Companies of note include Visa (NYSE:V), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), (NASDAQ:AMZN), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), General Motors (NYSE:GM), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), and AT&T (NYSE:T).

Monday, April 21

US Economics (Time Zone: EST)

08:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index - prior 0.14
10:00 Leading Index (Mar) - expected 0.6%, prior 0.5%
11:00 Fed to purchase $3.25b-$4b notes in 5-year range
11:30 Treasury selling $25b 3-month, $23b 6-month bills

Global Economics (Time Zone: GMT)

JPY Trade Balance (Mar)

Halliburton (HAL)
Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
Suntrust Banks (STI)

Netflix (NFLX)
Zion Banc (ZION)

Tuesday, April 22

US Economics (Time Zone: EST)
09:00 FHFA Home Price Index - expected 0.5%, prior 0.5%
10:00 Richmond Fed - exp 0, prior -7
10:00 Existing Home Sales (Mar) - exp 4.55M, prior 4.60M
11:00 Fed to purchase $900m-$1.15b bonds in 22 to 30-year range
11:30 Treasury selling 4-week bills
1:00 Treasury selling $32b 2-year notes
11:45am Former Fed Chair Bernanke speaks in Toronto

Global Economics (Time Zone: GMT)

14:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Apr advance)


Harley-Davidson (HOG)
McDonald's (MCD)
Travelers (TRV)
Comcast (CMCSA)
AK Steel (AKS)
Lockheed Martin (LMT)
Bank of New York Mellon (BK)
Regions Financial (RF)
Xerox (XRX)
Gilead Sciences (GILD)
AT&T (T)
Yum! Brands (YUM)
Juniper Networks (JNPR)
VMWare (VMW)

Wednesday, April 23

US Economics (Time Zone: EST)

07:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
09:45 Markit US Manufacturing PMI (Apr prelim) - expected 56.0, prior 55.5
10:00 New Home Sales (Mar) - exp 450K, prior 440K
11:00 Fed to purchase $2b-$2.5b notes in 7 to 10-year range
1:00 Treasury selling $35b 5-year notes

Global Economics (Time Zone: GMT)

01:30 AUD CPI
01:45 CNY HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Apr prelim)
03:0) NZD Credit Card Spending
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing & Services PMI
08:30 GBP BoE Minutes from last week
08:30 GBP Public Sector Budget
12:30 CAD Retail Sales


Boeing (BA)
Dow Chemical (DOW)
Northrop Grumman (NOC)
Procter & Gamble (PG)
Delta (DAL)
Norfolk Southern (NSC)
Qualcomm (QCOM)
Citrix (CTXS)
F5 Networks (FFIV)
Apple (AAPL)
Etrade Financial (ETFC)
Facebook (FB)
Zynga (ZNGA)
Fusion-io (FIO)

TDAmeritrade (AMTD)
Fortiner (FTNT)

Thursday, April 24

US Economics (Time Zone: EST)

08:30 Initial Jobless Claims -  prior 304K
08:30 Continuing Claims -  prior 2739K
08:30 Durable Goods Orders (Mar) - exp 2.0%, prior 2.2%
08:30 Durable Goods ex-Transports - exp 0.5%, prior 0.2%
08:30 Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air - exp 1.5%, prior -1.3%
08:30 Cap Goods Shipments Nondef Ex Air - prior 0.5%
11:00 Kansas City Fed - exp 8, prior 10
11:00 Fed to purchase $450m-$700m bonds in 11 to 19-year range
1:00 Treasury selling $29b 7-year notes
Global Economics (Time Zone: GMT)

JPY Japan Investors Purchases of Foreign Bonds/Stocks
NZD RBNZ Rate Decision
06:00 CHF Trade Balance
08:00 EUR German IFO Current Assessment, Expectations


Freeport-McMoran (FCX)
Cabot Oil & Gas (COG)
PulteGroup (PHM)
Stanley Black & Deck (SWK)
Waste Management (WM)
Lorillard (LO)
DR Horton (DRH)
Time Warner Cable (TWC)
Wyndham Worldwide (WYN)
General Motors (GM)
Southwest Airlines (LUV)
Sirius XM (SIRI)
Under Armour (UA)
Caterpillar (CAT)
3M (MMM)
Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF)
Masco (MAS)
Newmont Mining (NEM)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Starbucks (SBUX) (AMZN)
Broadcom (BRCM)
Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
Homeaway (AWAY)
Visa (V)
Pandora (P)
Deckers (DECK)
JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
United Continental (UAL)
Dunkin Brands (DNKN)

Friday, April 25

US Economics (Time Zone: EST)

09:55 University of Michigan Consumer Confidence (April final) - expected 83.0, prior 82.6
11:00 Fed to purchase $900m-$1.15b bonds in 22 to 30-year range
Global Economics (Time Zone: GMT)

08:30 GBP Retail Sales
08:30 GBP New Home Loans


Weyerhaeuser (WY)
State Street (STT)
Moody's (MCO)
AbbVie (ABBV)
Whirlpool (WHR)
Ford (F)

Twitter: @MichaelSedacca

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