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US Housing Starts; ASX Advance

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This article is published in collaboration with Scutify, where you can find real-time markets and stock commentary from Robert Marcin, Cody Willard and others. Download the Scutify iOS App, the Scutify Android App or visit Scutify.com.

Another short newsletter. I will return to the usual, longer format next week.

The latest GDP update shows the economy continues to grow, albeit at a moderate pace. The graph below compares nominal GDP (before adjusting for inflation) to total nonfarm payrolls multiplied by average weekly earnings.

GDP

Light vehicle sales are slowing, suggesting that consumers grow more cautious.

Light Vehicle Sales

But housing starts continue to climb, recovering above 1.2 million (privately owned) units for the first time since 2008.

Housing Starts

The Philadelphia Fed Leading Index is rising, suggesting healthy growth in the 12 months ahead.

Philadelphia Fed Leading Index

And a soaring Freight Transportation Services Index flags strong economic activity.

Freight Transportation Services Index

The economy appears on track for further growth. The biggest threat is that inflationary pressures rise and force the Fed to adopt a more contractionary monetary policy. But there is little sign of this at present.

Australia

The ASX 200 recovered above 5900, respecting medium-term support at 5800. Rising Twiggs Money Flow flags strong buying pressure and breach of 6000 now appears likely.

ASX 200

* Target medium-term: 5800 + ( 5800 - 5600 ) = 6000


This article was written by Colin Twiggs for on .

This article published in collaboration with Scutify, the best app for traders and investors. Download the Scutify iOS App, the Scutify Android App or visit Scutify.com.

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