Tech Randoms: Sunpower, Evergreen Solar, Teradyne
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Who's up and down in the industry. |
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- Or should this be called "tech for ransom" until we have clear short rules? I'll say we won't see a series of higher highs until the SEC acts and we have pretty much straightlined down since August 11th.
- Sunpower (SPWR) says pricing will be down 10-20% next year and this seems to be having more impact on the solar group than MEMC Electronic Materials' (WFR) inline update or oil falling. Here's the thing: this pricing forecast is as expected at SPWR and may actually spur more demand. I'll be on the SPWR train again but am glad I sold the last big spike. Winky Wright, as Todd likes to say.
- Cypress Semi (CY) under $26.50 and SPWR under $80 are things I'm watching for.
- At current levels I feel MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR) and Evergreen Solar (ESLR) are the best buys in the space and another fave is LDK Solar (LDK) after dropping a quick $7. But trading prevails here as readers will note, I sold the last spike in this name as well. At some point, these names may be better investments than trades, but not yet.
- Speaking of ESLR, it may be getting near the "add zone" again. It's a buy in $8's and a sell above $11 for intermediate cycle trading.
- Chips are on the chopping block yet deals and deal talk is in the air. Teradyne (TER) buys Eagle Test Systems (EGLT), but for a low premium deal here. TER gets stronger for a good price.
- Vishay Intertech. (VSH) and International Rectifier (IRF) are still talking according to Barron's tech blog. So is IRF the next name (like Diebold (DBD)) that could catch a bid or two as they keep fighting accounting issues. VSH's first bid for IRF was at book and you can bet VSH would love to buy IRF at book.
- Akamai (AKAM) has all the looks of becoming a teenager. Say it ain't so, AKAM. I'm taking a defined stab here and hoping AKAM avoids the teens.
- Is it just me or is the Beige Book a "master of the obvious"?
- Qualcomm (QCOM) says sales cycles are getting longer.
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Position in WFR, ESLR, TER, AKAM.
Sean Udall has previously managed assets at Morgan Stanley and Smith Barney. He has also conducted equity research for Fisher Investments and Wilshire Associates. Sean Udall welcomes your comments and/or feedback at udall@minyanville.com.
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