The following are the latest daily summaries of my ongoing intraday coverage, providing context to interpret price action. Any prices listed are for a contract's current "front month." Their direction tends to correlate with any ETFs listed for each.
Symmetrical patterns are neat, because they often break falsely in one direction and then reverse more substantially in the opposite direction. That’s the pattern that launched gold’s renewed plunge Thursday after Wednesday failed to confirm Tuesday’s plunge. Overkill?
Mar Contract DX; (NYSEARCA:UUP), (NYSEARCA:UDN)
Editor's note: Rod's analytical techniques are designed to efficiently identify targets and turning points for any liquid stock or market in any time frame. He applies his techniques live intraday, primarily to S&P futures, at RodDavid .com
Wednesday’s 79.09 gap low was filled Thursday. A bounce tried to recover back into positive territory and was still testing Wednesday’s 79.35 high. Now any higher close would trigger a rally to 79.79 or 80.25.
Mar Contract EC; (NYSEARCA:FXE)
The structure including Wednesday’s 1.3313 gap high was attacked Thursday to 1.3308, close enough to qualify as filling it. Potential to a fresh high at 1.3330 was not fulfilled before dipping back into negative territory under Wednesday’s 1.3245 low. Now any lower close would trigger a corrective dip targeting 1.3140 or 1.3040.
Feb Contract GC; (NYSEARCA:GLD)
Wednesday’s non-confirmation session was nonetheless followed by another plunge Thursday to 1636.00, rivaling Tuesday’s $35 dive. Having originated from an overnight symmetrical triangle, closing back above 1652.00-1657.00 would signal the drop had been absorbed, allowing a bounce to either 1700.00 or 1717.00.
Mar Contract SI; (NYSEARCA:SLV)
Thursday’s plunge extended the decline considerably below its 30.90 target to 29.63. A bounce to 31.65 should follow so long as 29.50 holds as support.
Mar Contract US; (NYSEARCA:TLT)
Wednesday’s shallow corrective bounce was extended Thursday. up to 147-04. That’s still not very aggressive, but it was reversed back into negative territory. Closing under 146-06 would trigger at least a retest of the 145-18 low.
Feb Contract CL; (NYSEARCA:USO)
Thursday morning’s pullback recovered to probe Wednesday’s 90.25-90.33 highs but only slightly, up to 90.55. RSI diverged negatively and Wednesday’s highs were still being tested. Despite the rally’s hesitation, not closing back under 89.65 Friday would allow the rally to extend, with potential up to 99.00.
Jan Contract NG; (NYSEARCA:UNG), (NYSEARCA:UNL)
Thursday’s gap up rejected Wednesday’s semi-Island, resuming Tuesday’s lackluster rally attempt. Tuesday’s 3.45 high was probed, and there is no bullish reason to further delay rallying aggressively higher into the weekend.
No positions in stocks mentioned.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.