Reexamining the Bullish Thesis on Palm Sean Udall Sep 18, 2009 10:30 am |
![]() |
![]() |
|
||||||||||||
|
Editor's Note: This content was posted in real-time on the Buzz & Banter (clck for a free trial). It's being republished here for the benefit of the Minyanville community.
Though I'm not crazy about Palm (PALM) and would still favor Apple (AAPL) and Nokia (NOK) (and I'm warming to Research in Motion (RIMM) again) for smartphone exposure, I feel there are several reasons to re-look at the bullish thesis on Palm:
- Small market cap relative to forward sales (roughly one-times sales).
- Monster-short interest of 30% of float, which may have grown in recent days/weeks due to concerns about the weak quarter. So a short squeeze alone could be worth a quick $5 to $6.
- Aside from the panic lows in late 2008, the stock has a long base of support on the weekly chart going back to 2005.
- Still largely negative analyst coverage and skepticism about the long-term viability of Palm's story.
- Last but not least is the fact that Goldman is doing the secondary (this alone could get the stock to $20) and my take is they will do a good job of highlighting the potential positives of this story going forward.
The balance sheet isn't a thing of beauty but it's relatively strong with about $211 million in cash against nearly $400 million in long-term debt. Thus, after the secondary, Palm will again have a healthy net cash position.
A move to new highs puts the stock firmly in the no-resistance zone and upside could be stunning.
And I'm not even mentioning the potential interest from much larger players on the acquisition front.
In light of these factors, I added Palm into the after-hours/pre-market weakness.
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange |
|
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
| add rss feed | free article alerts |
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides


















