Trading Lessons: There Is No Magic Bullet Dr Janice Dorn Jul 17, 2009 12:45 pm |
![]() |
![]() |
|
||||||||||||
|
Most traders are looking for the Holy Grail, the keys to the kingdom, the one great book. They want the magic indicator, the chart pattern, thing, or person that will tell them what's going to happen, and what to do.
It's a natural human tendency to want to know what's going to happen next. Chart patterns, indicators, fundamental analyses, or technical analyses are constructs we build in an attempt to bring order to uncertainty. We do this in part because we're afraid that, without a detailed roadmap, we may have no future.
In the process of building these models, we become them. We want to believe what our eyes are seeing, when what we're really seeing are our own limitations. Charts are emotions plotted on a grid: When emotions change, the charts do, too. We can't control that, just as we can't control what others believe, or how they act on their beliefs.
We can control only one thing: how we respond to the situation that's right in front of us. In order to do this with consistent success, we must adopt an attitude of flexibility, and rid ourselves of all our rigid assumptions.
In the final analysis, those things we've seen on paper or had in our heads before we enter the markets are illusions. They may be useful illusions, but they're illusions nonetheless. We have no idea whether they're true or not until the markets tell us. If there's any absolute truth in trading, it's that, with 2 possible exceptions, the markets are always right. Traders ignore this at their own peril.
If there's a technique for winning, it's to stop believing in so many things that are wrong. In order to do this, we must learn to harness the villains of pride and greed that speak falsely to us, telling us that we've already won. We haven't won if the markets say we've lost. By eliminating what's false, we open ourselves to the truth.
To paraphrase George Orwell: If the greatest lies are those we tell ourselves, then truth-telling becomes a revolutionary act.
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange |
|
No positions in stocks mentioned.
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
| add rss feed | free article alerts |
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides

















