Five Things: The Eventual Upside of Risk Aversion

Kevin Depew  Jul 06, 2009 11:05 am

Five Things: The Eventual Upside of Risk Aversion
 
For States, the worst is yet to come, California issues IOUs -- and at least one person is profiting from it.
 

Since starting last Thursday, Schlichter said he has seen more than a dozen inquiries. For now, competition remains thin. "I think this is rather volatile and won't see a larger group of individuals enter into the field until it stabilizes," he told me via email. The model is to collect a 5-10% commission for hooking up the registered warrant buyers and sellers. And that, friends, is the free market at work.

5. News & Weirdness


Earnings Dropped Worldwide in Second Quarter as Job Losses Hurt Consumers  - Bloomberg
Where's the "decoupling" crowd when you need them? China’s economy is forecast to grow 7.8% this year, according to a Bloomberg survey. That compares with a decline of 2.7% in the U.S. and 4.3% in the euro zone. Remember too, PetroChina (PTR) is the world’s largest company by market value.

India Will Borrow Record $93 Billion to Fund Budget - Bloomberg
Wait, look! The decouplers, they're just like us! "India’s Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee announced plans to borrow a record 4.51 trillion rupees ($93 billion) to fund budget spending on roads, power and aid for the poor."

Is It Possible to Pay People to Borrow Money?
Sweden: Negative Interest Rates and Quantitative Easing  - CreditWritedowns
The tidy summary here, in my view, is correct: "The thing is you can lead a borrower to the bank, but you can’t make him borrow. Do you even want him to borrow? The last time I checked, it was savings and investment which created long-term growth. In my view, people are terrified of over-borrowing now and no amount of easy money is going to change that overnight."

Phrase of the Year: "Precautionary Borrowing"

Microsoft Prepares for Worst as New U.S. Company Bonds Show No End to Fear  Bloomberg
Microsoft's (MSFT) $3.75 billion bond sale in May was its first ever and was done even though regulatory filings show the maker of Windows computer operating systems had $25.3 billion in cash and short-term investments as of March 31, according to Bloomberg. There were at least 262 non-financial borrowers in the first half of this year, the most since 2001.

Happy Co-Dependence Day!

Judge Approves Plan to Sell GM Assets - FT
The plan will allow General Motors' (GM) most profitable assets to be sold to a new company, which allow GM to emerge from bankruptcy... possibly even this week.

Department of Personal Finance Horror
Man Outlives Savings... Twice - Washington Post
Larry Haubner, 107, has outlived his savings twice.

Porn Downloads Strain Japan's Mobile Phone Network - Bloomberg
Global revenue from pornography on mobile devices is expected to more than double to $4.9 billion in the five years to 2013, while music sales are expected to grow by only a third.
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Comments (32) See All Comments »
07-07-2009, 2:15 pm
See, I think we are in violent agreement. The only issue may be one of time frame or semantics. I agree 100% with everything you wrote from here down:

"also believe you can lower your standard of living while increasing your qualit
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07-07-2009, 2:21 pm
I totally agree. I would add to your list of woes the rampant lawlessness in the federal government. Talk about a game-changing wild card!
I cannot imagine the depth of stupidity one would have to have to invest one's savings in main st
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07-09-2009, 8:46 am
Kevin, your lack of clarity of just what this "time frame" is seems to be creating some confusion. The same people who believed that "bad news" makes Stocks go down are all now contrarians saying, like you (but on a shorter ti
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07-10-2009, 11:41 am
Agreed.
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07-10-2009, 11:47 am
The point was for GM to need the government and for the government to be the savior, the bank, the friend of the Unions.

They talk a good line about "gosh, we wish we didn't have to do this" but it's a smoke scr
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