Time For Mining Gold Is Now Lance Lewis Jul 25, 2008 1:45 pm |
![]() |
![]() |
|
||||||||||||
|
When the financials began to rally last week after changes in the SEC's rules, it caused massive deleveraging across the board by these funds, since they were forced to cover shorts in financials and sell mining shares, gold, oil and other inflation hedges.
Even as the covering in the financials came to a close yesterday, the cumulative selling in the miners then resulted in more and more margin calls. And I believe those margin calls also explained much of the "randomness" of the selling in gold miners on Thursday.
Some stocks were up for no particular reason, while others that had been trading better a few days earlier were suddenly slammed (like Gammon Gold (GRS) and Golden Star Resources (GSS)).
In any event, I do think the gold shares are now stabilizing, and once we finish up the clean-up type selling in the shares on the open this morning, I think we've got a good shot at bringing this August-like collapse to an end today. Obviously, I believe the yellow metal's pullback from $990 also likely came to an end this morning as well.
For those that maybe missed the August 2007 low, you may be getting a rare opportunity to buy a similar climactic low in the gold miners in the here and now. Everything's fundamentally positive for the miners at this point:
1) The Fed's powerless to do anything about inflation as employment and the banking system continue to deteriorate.
2) The positive seasonal period for gold begins in 5 trading days and investment demand has already pushed SPDR Gold Shares' (GLD) holdings to a new all-time high this month.
3) The gold/oil ratio continues to move in favor of the miners.
Click to enlarge
4) The gold shares as a group relative to gold haven't been this cheap in years, as we can see in the new multiyear lows in the XAU/Gold and GDX/GLD ratios that were hit yesterday.
Click to enlarge
Click to enlarge
If that isn't a case for buying the miners here, I don't know what is.
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange |
|
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
| add rss feed | free article alerts |
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides


















