Built to Fail: Key Lessons from the Financial Crisis

Satyajit Das  Jun 16, 2009 9:10 am

Built to Fail: Key Lessons from the Financial Crisis
 
Financial-driven growth has been called into question.
 

 
The GFC marks the end of unquestioned advocacy of free markets. Wang Qishan, Vice-Premier of China, tartly observed: "The teachers now have some problems."

The GFC brings into question much of established orthodoxy of economic models and approaches. It calls into question social and political models based on high levels of economic growth and financial-, rather than real-economy-driven, growth.

The GFC also questions the ability of governments and their policy "wonks" to control the economic engines. As Wolfgang Münchau, columnist for the Financial Times, observed on June 14: "Instead of solving the problems to generate a recovery, the political strategies have consisted of waiting for a recovery to solve the problem. The Europeans are relying on the Americans to generate growth. The Americans are relying on the Chinese, who in turn are waiting for the rest of the world."


Recently in Canary Wharf, the financial district in London’s docklands, I noticed a small street stand erected by the English Teachers Union to recruit teachers. Two affable recruiters explained that they had heard that there was "a bit of financial crisis." Well-educated and highly motivated bankers who were losing their jobs by the thousands might like to consider a new career: teaching.

I questioned the adjustment in salaries -- a reduction of 60% to 95% -- that the change in careers would necessitate. One recruiter’s response stays with me: "If you haven’t got a job, then it’s not relevant, is it? It was never real money and it wasn’t going to ever last, was it?"

Different strategies exist for dealing with the GFC. The most productive strategy may be to use the GFC to redirect talent and resources into the real economy and adjust living standards and expectations of economic growth.

As Keynes wrote in 1933: "We have reached a critical point. We can ... see clearly the gulf to which our present path is leading … [If governments do not take action,] we must expect the progressive breakdown of the existing structure of contract and instruments of indebtedness, accompanied by the utter discredit of orthodox leadership in finance and government, with what ultimate outcome we cannot predict."
45 of 49 (92%) found this helpful
Rate this article:  (49 Votes)
Comments (14) See All Comments »
06-16-2009, 5:14 pm
I was under the assumption that Mr. Das was an intelligent person but I stand corrected. Nobody with any intellectual honesty can claim that the US has operated as a free market economy since prior to the 1920's. Economic booms and busts will
Read More
06-17-2009, 12:43 am
Spot on, sir, with the basic thrust of the article as in "the current model is built to fail."

Alas, we part company there.

Your estimable reasoning powers should red flag to you your own statements "The
Read More
06-17-2009, 10:31 am

"WHAAT? They should consume more and save less... why?"

The reason is that the global economy is out of balance. The alternative solution is for us to simply lower our wages and consumption down to the level of that f
Read More
06-18-2009, 6:57 pm
I guess I'm old-fashioned. Before we tell others they need to act more like us, I'd prefer to see us put our own house in order. Your premise that we must lower our standard of living in order to do that, i.e. balance our budget and man
Read More
08-05-2009, 1:05 pm
The problem is that economics is a failed discipline that produced no great men. Imagine biology without a Darwin, physics without a Newton or Einstein, psychology without a Freud. All economics has ever produced were glorified money managers and pol
Read More
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.



The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Ticker Talk
Popular Tickers:
F »AMZN »HIG »
Select
  •  
Talk Now
Share this Talk on your site:
Send us your feedback

Our Professors

rss article alert