Preparing for the Coming Crises in Jobs, Funding

William Fleckenstein  Oct 29, 2008 9:20 am

Preparing for the Coming Crises in Jobs, Funding
 
Financial turmoil is only first phase of emergency.
 

 
Building a Highway to Job Creation

I hope that as the government goes about spreading taxpayer money everywhere, it does something intelligent - like spending money to rebuild our infrastructure (roads, bridges, ports, etc.), and perhaps undertaking the task of stimulating alternative energy resources (while also building plenty of nuclear-power plants), so we can create jobs and eliminate our dependence on entities like OPEC.

I'm sure there will be other ideas about how best to help create jobs, but one "solution" -- which is no solution at all -- is to put a floor on house prices. House prices in America are still too high, relative to average income, and the average income is going down. So trying to "stabilize" house prices is (a) impossible and (b) a complete waste of money.

The third crisis that I see coming, which is more theoretical but I suspect cannot be avoided: At some point, the US won’t be allowed to finance all of its debts in dollars. We have proposed more than $1 trillion worth of bailouts, and there will be more money thrown at the economy, I'm sure.

I can't see why foreigners will fund a couple trillion dollars in spending in our currency, given our recent behavior. Thus, somewhere down the road, we'll have to borrow in foreign currencies, which will cause another set of problems. Hopefully, we'll be far enough along in the first 2 crises so that this won't be a catastrophe, should it come to pass.

To sum up in baseball metaphors: I believe the credit crisis is probably in the eighth inning. The economic crisis is still doing batting practice. As far as the funding crisis goes, I don't think folks have realized that the game has even been scheduled.

Obviously, there are many things that I can't know, and there will certainly be surprises in the dark matter of the world's financial institutions. Any market rally is almost certain to be transitory. And, while it may be tradable (depending on the setup and the skills of individuals), it won’t be something you can buy and forget about.
Rate this article:  (0 Votes)
Comments (14) See All Comments »
10-29-2008, 3:25 pm
Sorry, David, but Hope is what gets people on the trains to go to concentration camps, not what makes life worth living.
Life itself and the cooperation of community toward stable futures for children: this is what makes life better. Advances i
Read More
10-29-2008, 3:35 pm
To some extent, I agree with you. Some of the problem is that the things people SHOULD be paying more for were easily commoditized( food, clothing, shelter), and then manufactured in centralized locations more 'efficiently'. This efficien
Read More
10-29-2008, 6:57 pm
I agree wih much of Glenn's argument but if you have so much to say you should write an article not a comment.
Dan, do you really believe that subsistence farming is the answer?
Read More
10-29-2008, 11:08 pm
Only one aspect of the Answer. The answer lies in the ratio between what we grow and create vs. what we consume. If we are going to consume a planet every 100 years, then we have to grow a little more than a planet during that time in order to have s
Read More
10-30-2008, 4:08 pm
Try thorium instead of uranium and we are not running out.
Read More
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.



The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Ticker Talk
Popular Tickers:
F »AMZN »HIG »
Select
  •  
Talk Now
Share this Talk on your site:
Send us your feedback

Our Professors

rss article alert