An Angry World Tries To Find Its Footing

Todd Harrison  Nov 13, 2008 10:10 am

An Angry World Tries To Find Its Footing
 
The 2008 low is being tested daily, but will it be breached?
 

 

My mother used to say "when it's on your lung, it's on your tongue." I never really knew what that meant but I'm fairly sure it had to do with thinking before I speak.

That's easier said than done when sharing a real-time stream of consciousness and rather than heed her advice, I'll let these zingers rip through my fingers as we power up our Thursday pup:
 



  • Just as the Internet prophecy proved true (but not without a tech crash), so too will the notion of globalization, but not before debt destruction.

  • The risk? OK, I'll say it. WW3. History teaches us that global conflicts are bred from economic hardship and that potential is higher than most folks think. Heck, some would argue that it already started in March, 2003.

  • Two words for Hank Paulson: "Paper trade." Seriously dude, I empathize with the magnitude of this mess but we need proactive leadership, not reactive rationalization.

  • The reaction to news is always more important than the news itself. And yes, I'm speaking to the fact that Intel (INTC) is flattish following last night's bed messing.

  • What exactly is proper taxi hailing etiquette? I was standing on the corner yesterday—arm raised—and some woman walks in front of me and puts her hand up as a cab waited on the other side of the traffic light. I gently communicated that I was waiting for the cab (and about to offer that we share it) when she broke into a sprint, ran across the Street and grabbed it.

  • For some strange reason, this column kept popping into my crowded keppe so I figured I'd share it with ye faithful.

  • S&P 840 looms and everyone—and I mean everyone—is using that level as a stop-loss. That means one of three things. One, we don't get there. Two, we blow through it and snap back HARD. Three, Sayonara Sally.

  • The more times a level is tested, the weaker it becomes (either way). I will say this, however, I had the exact same sense at S&P 775 in 2003 and we know how that turned out.

  • The difference? In 2003, credit was quietly improving behind the scenes. Today, one could argue the opposite is true (LIBOR and other symptoms notwithstanding). Something to keep in the back of your keppe as we find our way.

  • I know what you're thinking."Gee, thanks Scoop. We're either going higher, lower then higher or lower--nice value added." I share this for a reason, however, and that's for Minyans to "see all sides" before risking hard earned coin.
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Comments (18) See All Comments »
11-14-2008, 12:01 am

Good points.

4,000 lost is a sacrifice and very sad, however, it is a very small number for a war. 10,000 died in one day in the Civil War.

If the Western world is hungry, and in soup lines, and homeless, their appet
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01-23-2009, 12:01 pm
We are covering the bailouts all day every day.

Bailout News and Opinion. We find it, read it, sort and then give it back to you ALL DAY EVERY DAY. We are keeping ALL the records on the greatest Taxpayer heist in history! Come Check U
Read More
01-23-2009, 12:03 pm
We are covering the bailouts all day every day.

Bailout News and Opinion. We find it, read it, sort and then give it back to you ALL DAY EVERY DAY. We are keeping ALL the records on the greatest Taxpayer heist in history! Come Check U
Read More
01-23-2009, 1:56 pm
and the reason japan attacked the US was
because they stopped exporting steel
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01-26-2009, 7:12 pm

if banks don't start lending to farmers soon the crop this year is ......

--

i like your 'wishbone world' metaphor.

but it seems as tho *some* things will travel one path and *some* the
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Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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