Five Things You Need to Know: Deflation is Here, What Next? Kevin Depew Oct 10, 2008 1:05 pm |
![]() |
![]() |
|
||||||||||||
|

Kevin Depew's daily Five Things You Need to Know to stay ahead of the pack on Wall Street:
Secular Forces of Deflation... Explosion of Simulacra... The Crisis of the Real... The Precession of the Simulacra... What Next?
The long-term secular forces of debt revulsion and deflation continue to build and are showing up in social mood with increasing frequency. The question is what do these forces mean for our everyday lives, how will they manifest in popular culture and lifestyle?
In Tuesday's New York Times, in the Science section of all places, was an intriguing story asking the question, "Are Bad Times Healthy?"
"Most people are worried about the health of the economy. But does the economy also affect your health?"
On the one hand, economic growth can lead to both advances in medicine and treatment of disease as well as to improvement in a population's overall economic health. But what about long-term economic stagnation or economic declines? Do people get sicker if the economy fails? The conclusions the article reaches about these questions may seem surprising, but they fit squarely within the hypothesis that social mood drives social change, not vice versa, and underscore the psychological shift a darkening social mood brings in attitudes toward consumption, money and time.
"“The value of time is higher during good economic times,” said Grant Miller, an assistant professor of medicine at Stanford. “So people work more and do less of the things that are good for them, like cooking at home and exercising; and people experience more stress due to the rigors of hard work during booms.”
"“When coffee prices suddenly rise, people work harder on their coffee plots and spend less time doing things around the home, including things that are good for their children,” he said."
This is a rather straightforward manifestation of how society copes with more challenging economic times; by seeking a positive outcome from less work and less consumption, and by challenging the boom hypothesis that hard work is both critical to economic success and something worth valuing above time spent at home with family and children.
Yet another social manifestation of debt revulsion and anti-consumption preceding the breakdown of a debt bubble is the conscious attempt to revolt against the explosion of simulacra that the fiat currency-based debt bubble inevitably produces; simulacra in finance, food, fashion, art and culture.
Explosion of Simulacra
Plato, in his dialogue, The Sophist, portrayed the distinction between two types of images; those that try to faithfully reproduce the original, and another, more insidious image that is intentionally distorted in a manner to make the reproduction itself appear real to those who see it.
"Theaetus: Stranger, can I describe an image except assomething fashioned in the likeness of the true?"
Plato presented two types of images; a faithful one, and a simulacra, or a distortion that was asserted to be reality. Later, Jean Baudrillard expanded upon the Platonic duality of images to assert four stages of imagery.
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
|
|||||||
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange |
|
Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options. Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.
The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.
Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
| add rss feed | free article alerts |
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennesee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Local Guides

















