What We Need Now: Real Capital

Minyan Peter
  Oct 07, 2008 3:55 pm

What We Need Now: Real Capital
 
Common equity necessary to rebuild capital structure.
 

 
Alan Schwartz thought he could do it. And so did Ken Thompson. And so did John Thain, Dick Fuld and even Angelo Mozilo. All of them thought they could outrun it. That it was just a credit cycle. They had liquidity. They had capital. They had great brands.

And yet today their firms, despite their assertions to the contrary, are gone. But I'm sure on a psychiatrist’s couch, each would say “I thought I could outrun it.”

But it isn't a normal credit cycle correction snowball. It's an avalanche.

And unfortunately, as we're now witnessing, all the liquidity in the world can't outrun an avalanche.

What we need now, and have needed all along, is more capital. Not the hybrid stuff, but the evisceratingly dilutive common equity stuff. Solid ground on which you can rebuild a capital structure. Not senior debt below which you have layer after layer of quicksand.

This afternoon, Ben Bernanke announced that he welcomed ideas as to how to reopen the credit markets. Well, here are mine:

1. Establish a moratorium on all US bank common and preferred dividends. Sorry, but we need all the capital we currently have in the system.

2. Declare insolvent all banks on the FDIC and FSLIC problem bank list and merge them into a stronger financial institution (any bank with assets larger than $20 billion whose September 30th Tier 1 capital ratio is less than 8%).

3. Take the $700 billion authorized by Congress and put it as common stock into any bank sufficient to raise the systemwide bank Tier 1 capital level to at least 10%. Then go back to Congress and get authorization for another $500 billion, just in case.

4. Establish a marketplace for the public trading of toxic debt; however, don't provide government funding to purchase the assets. This will begin a flooring process. Tell banks they have 12 months to get the bad stuff off the books. And as assets are sold at a loss, commit to using the $500 billion in additional funding. Agree to “make whole” all financial-institution Tier-1 capital ratios at no less than 6% through 2010.

5. Go raise super senior preferred stock from the private sector and pay market rate dividends on it.

That’ll get you started. And with a strong base, we can rebuild a banking system that all Americans can once again be proud of.
Rate this article:  (0 Votes)
Comments (7) See All Comments »
10-07-2008, 5:07 pm
TREASON ?? rotflmao.

I challenge you. Besides fraud (which is a cheap calumny of an offense to allege), what actual crimes do you think could be successfully prosecuted, under the rule of law, against any participant in the buildup and
Read More
10-07-2008, 6:01 pm
Indeed. Full reserve and abolish the Fed. Building an economy on the ability to lie into paper prosperity is building to fail from the outset.
Read More
10-07-2008, 7:59 pm

When you're right you're right. If we were to start posecuting people for arrogance, greed and gluttony we wouldn't have much of a country left.

That said, if you're looking for jurors where do I sign up?
Read More
10-08-2008, 9:50 am
Lots of pundits like to throw around the T word, like it's something that can be bought.
Maybe it can, if the people we need to trust had any real money. But they don't. They only have the debt chains that were too heavy for us to
Read More
10-09-2008, 8:26 pm
Thanks for sharing the great ideas, and for all the other thoughtful pieces. Minyans should send these ideas to Washington, the Fed, Obama and McCain.
Read More
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange
No positions in stocks mentioned.

Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.



Ticker Talk
Popular Tickers:
SPX »AMZN »RIMM »
Select
  •  
Talk Now
Share this Talk on your site:
Send us your feedback

Our Professors

rss article alert