Why EA Should Take THQ

Michael Comeau  Jul 10, 2009 1:07 pm

Why EA Should Take THQ
 
Merger could mean real value, room for growth.
 

 
Luckily for THQ, the 18- to 34-year-old male demographic that makes up a great deal of the UFC fan base likes video games. A whopping 2 million units of UFC 2009 Undisputed were shipped within 2 weeks of its May 19 release. And since this sport is still illegal in New York and Massachusetts, there's still plenty of room for growth.

EA is planning a rival title comprised mostly of non-UFC fighters. But according to a Sports Illustrated report, UFC president Dana White put the word out that fighters considering signing with EA had better think twice -- an ominous warning given the company's virtual monopoly on the sport in North America.

The solution? EA should just buy THQ. EA is sitting on $2 billion-plus in cash that isn't generating much in interest; buying THQ makes a heck of a lot more sense than leaving all that money in the bank.

EA would be partnered with the UFC -- the best promotion in the world. It would also own the development house that put together the critically acclaimed and top-selling Undisputed, which would take a lot of the risk out of the equation.

Could EA make a hit MMA game? Yes. Is that guaranteed? No.

THQ has an enterprise value of about $335 million, so EA could offer THQ shareholders a significant premium -- 50% or more -- and the deal would still make sense from a financial standpoint. For $600 million or so, EA would be getting its hands on an incredibly hot sports franchise with room for significant growth in coming years.

In fact, an extremely conservative free-cash-flow model indicates that the UFC license alone is easily worth hundreds of millions of dollars over the long term. Moreover, EA would be getting its hands on other THQ licenses -- including the cash cow WWE, and some valuable intellectual properties such as Company of Heroes. Anything that loses money or competes with an existing EA property could simply be eliminated.

The industry's only going to keep consolidating -- EA buying THQ is the next logical step.
20 of 22 (91%) found this helpful
Rate this article:  (22 Votes)
Comment (0) See All Comments »
discuss this article and more on the mv exchange
Position in THQI

Get real-time options trading ideas from Steve Smith, veteran options trader and newsletter author, plus let him show you the way to cut risk and boost your returns through the strategic use of options.  Click here for a free 14 day trial to OptionSmith by Steve Smith.



The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2009 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Ticker Talk
Popular Tickers:
F »AMZN »HIG »
Select
  •  
Talk Now
Share this Talk on your site:
Send us your feedback

Our Professors

rss article alert