Ticker Shock: Three Reasons Why Bank Stocks Have Nowhere to Go But Down Glenn Curtis May 12, 2009 10:10 am |
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I’d love to hook a lie detector up to some of those guys.
Asian stocks were mixed. The Hang Seng was up 0.38%. Meanwhile, the Nikkei was down 1.62%. European stocks were in positive territory earlier this morning. And here in the US, we're currently trading higher.
Here's what I’m focused on this morning:
Bank of America (BAC)/Citigroup (C):
But I think the run is overdone in the near term. In fact, there are 3 things that concern me right now:
1. Call me a loon, but Meredith Whitney’s comments on the floor of the exchange yesterday afternoon spooked me. And given her history, she’s hard to ignore. For what it's worth, I think the selling near the close was due to her comments.
2. I’m looking at Bank of America. It’s sitting at $12.94, yet it’s only expected to earn $0.43 a share this year. Meanwhile, Citi trades at $3.86, and it’s expected to lose a bunch of money this year. I’m not saying these guys can’t come back, and longer term, I certainly like Bank of America's chances. But in the near term, they may have gotten a bit ahead of themselves.
3. There appears to be a lack of a near-term catalyst on the horizon for the financials. I think in order to continue this momentum, something big would have to happen.
I’d look to make withdrawals and not deposits right now, if you know what I mean.
General Motors (GM): Did anyone happen to see reports that executives were unloading shares of the beleaguered automaker?
Hold the email, folks: Not to imply the executives at GM are rats, but why do you think they might be selling? Clearly, I can’t speak for them, but it’s not a good sign. Like my mother used to say: I’ll give you 3 guesses, but the first 2 don’t count.
I think it’s both funny and sad that there are still investors out there willing to roll the dice at $1 and change. I hate to say it, but this could be the last time I write about the company.
For previous takes on GM, see: Ticker Shock: Three Reasons Why Dish Network's Stock Could Get Strong Reception and GM Sputters on Cash Concerns.
One final thought: Anyone find it ironic that Ford (F) didn’t lean on Uncle Sam, and yet these guys are still going strong, comparatively?
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