Public Pensions Place Undue Burden on Staggering Economy

Mike Mish Shedlock  Oct 31, 2008 9:35 am

Public Pensions Place Undue Burden on Staggering Economy
 
Real change is needed to prevent blow-out, bailout.
 

 

The ticking time bomb of overpromised, underfunded public pension plans has finally exploded. Here are a few articles to consider:
 

Future Expectations Too High

The above is just a random sampling of hundreds of articles about pension plan woes. 40% of pension plans are underfunded - and that assumes future returns of 8% annually. Good luck with that.

Now, think how bad things will be if the S&P drops to 600. Go one step further and think about what might happen if the US heads into an economic slump similar to Japan. For a quick review please see S&P 500 Crash Count Compared to Nikkei Index.

Nikkei Monthly Chart

Click to enlarge

If that chart seems farfetched for US equities, I assure you it's not. Click on the above link for a fundamental and technical explanation of why something like that might happen.

Taxpayer Backlash Brewing

A huge taxpayer backlash against overly generous public pension plans is brewing. Boomers with destroyed stock funds and IRAs aren't going to want to have their taxes increased so that public workers can get 90% of their salaries for the rest of their lives.

Vallejo, California went bankrupt over benefits earlier this year. Expect to see more cities and counties take that action if the stock market continues to decline.

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Comments (5) See All Comments »
10-31-2008, 11:25 am
Haven't seen your articles for a while. Glad to see you return. You are right on.

I have been tracking the Pennsylvania State Teachers Pension Fund (I am a school board member). In 2002-2003 they started to really ramp up how muc
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10-31-2008, 11:45 am
The wave to employee based benefits has moved some to the public sector. For example, federal government employees receive 1% per year worked times their high-3 average salary..so 25 years of working means 25%. They count on a 401k and social securit
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10-31-2008, 2:09 pm
I am a financial advisor. I meet with clients and can tell you the only people consistently in a good place going into retirement are public employees with pensions. These super generous plans are so far and away better than anybody in the private se
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11-01-2008, 6:36 pm
"so that public workers can get 90% of their salaries for the rest of their lives". -

Mish-man, if financial advisors or yourself are talking with public employee pensioners that are 60ish and older some of that statement ma
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11-03-2008, 3:23 am
As Charles mentioned, not all of us have great pensions. My Minnesota PERA is only ok. I don't know how other states handle them, but my contribution is a set percentage and is matched by my employer (taxpayers), similar to a 401k or SS. Unl
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