Gold Correction Coming to an End

Lance Lewis  Jul 10, 2009 2:25 pm

Gold Correction Coming to an End
 
Price should surge past $1000 by summer's end.
 

 
In fact, one-day GLD ETF sales above 1% are extremely rare this year. So rare in fact, that 2 such sales helped me to identify the low back in April, something I discussed in a post called A Double Bottom For Gold.

It just so happens that on Wednesday, which is still the low in gold and the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) for this correction thus far, the GLD ETF dumped just over 10 tonnes -- just shy of 1% and the first such 1% sale since the April low.

Was Wednesday’s plunge below the June lows another capitulatory low?

I tend to think it could have been, especially since so many of the gold equities still remain well above their June lows (see GSS, NXG, SA, MFN, EGO, and so on) and the COMEX futures saw open interest actually rise dramatically on the plunge, indicating that heavy short selling was more than likely at work rather than heavy long liquidation, which would have caused open interest to fall.

                                   
Click to enlarge


I could certainly see how we could retest Wednesday’s low in the yellow metal early next week or perhaps even test the $900 area -- which would be even more convincing if it occurred along with another 1% sale by the GLD. But either way, I tend to think there are enough encouraging signs -- given that the metal and its equities are digging in -- to tell us that this month-long correction is now coming to an end.

And if this correction is coming to end, it could be that we’ve finally completed the year-and-a half-long base in gold that's going to catapult prices to new all-time highs above $1000 later this summer.
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Comments (21) See All Comments »
07-10-2009, 6:15 pm
GLD's holdings suffered MANY 1.0%+ down days back during the severe correction of 2008. So, my point remains valid and correct.

Enjoy the trip down to $850 and $800 (maybe lower). There should be plenty of whining along the way f
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07-10-2009, 6:29 pm
Bradley, fear not, unlike one-note lancie, Minyanville is packed with excellent bloggers who are witty, erudite, and actual analysts. Here is today's take on gold by James Kostohyrz:

6. Due to its perceived value as a safe haven, g
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07-10-2009, 10:44 pm
If u will remember, when stocks crashed in Oct 2008, at the time of Lehman, everything plunged.....

The Indices, oil, commodities AND Gold.

As we all know, the Dow is now headed lower, and job numbers and the like are still
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07-10-2009, 11:25 pm
Tim,
I'm not knocking gold as an investment. I bought mine in 1999 at $250.00. Bought Seabridge Gold @ $2.75, Eldorado Gold @ $3.00, Etc. I'm still long on gold until it passes $6,000.00/oz, then I'm moving into bonds that wil
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07-12-2009, 11:00 am
I realise it aint rocket science, but someone mentioned this exotic new way of trading to me the other day which I still can't quite figure out...he called it "shorting". Well anyway, apparently it lets you hold a negative position
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