Random Thoughts: Sifting Through the New World Order

Todd Harrison  Sep 19, 2008 11:45 am

Random Thoughts: Sifting Through the New World Order
 
Time to start picking up the pieces?
 

 
Editor's Note: The following was posted in real time on our premium Buzz & Banter. It's being shared here for the benefit of the Minyanville community. See also Martial Law For the Markets.


Gate Sniffage - 10:17 am
 


Bye, Bye Ms. American Pie - 10:53 am
 

  • The SKF (proshares ultrashort financials) has been halted down 22%. It'll be real interesting to see how they're gonna mop that one up. They can't simply pretend it's not there and make it disappear. Oh wait, they can. I forgot--they can do whatever they want.

  • Do I sound bitter? It's not a function of losing money. I respected the magic hat into expiration and discipline saved me. I am profoundly saddened with what we are seeing, however, to a degree that it's probably a good idea for me to hold my tongue until I have an opportunity to digest and synthesize these historic events.

  • The most curious thing on my screen (which is saying a lot)? The dollar, which I would have expected to be lower on this news. 

  • The "easy" trade today was the first fade (sale), which I couldn't capture due to a system outage. That's the second time this week that trading systems blitzed on the opening, costing me an opportunity (the other was AIG (AIG) $1.60).

  • All this... and we're back to Monday's levels. I can't decide if that's really bullish or extremely bearish. When in doubt, sit it out and let the dust settle.

  • Gotta hop, President Hoover is on television. I'll be back.


Answers I Really Wanna Know... - 11:24 am
 

  • Is sub-prime still contained?

  • How can you assess risk given the unforeseen fallout from the hedge fund community?

  • Will funds simply avoid the financials and trade other sectors?

  • At least until they start declining?

  • If you left last Friday and came back today, there would be zero net change on the S&P?

  • Am I the only one who thinks that's insane?

  • And Mercury Retrograde begins on Wednesday?

  • Will I have to listen to Cowboy Mouth before I smile again?

  • How many financial insiders--CEO's and so forth--will be selling stock into this artificial lift?

  • Are they gonna take our third Sunday in a row?

  • I mean, seriously, I've been so busy that I don't even know who the Raiders are playing?

  • What has this world come to?

  • Was that the last bullet? 


R.P.

 
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Comments (4) See All Comments »
09-19-2008, 12:08 pm
RAIDS OF INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS

This is so important a topic, that it deserves top billing!!! Hidden inside the AIG bailout funding package, surely hastily cobbled together, but carefully enough to include a totally corrupt clause, was a ha
Read More
09-19-2008, 1:07 pm
Toddo, I agree about the sense of loss; and the importance of shower meditation. if (as you said), Paulson *wanted* derivative markets to freeze up, would that be as a function of buying time ? Isn't that all the short ban does, anyway ?

Read More
09-20-2008, 10:21 pm
Well I've been reading Minyanville for some time, especially Todd's description, of what is to come.

I've made it my personal mission to better understand other's opinions in the coming changes.

In d
Read More
09-20-2008, 10:22 pm
http://www.stwr.org/global-financial-crisis/russia-and-the-crisis-of-the-global-economy.html
Read More
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Todd Harrison is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Minyanville. Prior to his current role, Mr. Harrison was President and head trader at a $400 million dollar New York-based hedge fund. Todd welcomes your comments and/or feedback at todd@minyanville.com.

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