Jeff Saut: Expect Further Embezzlement

MV Respect  Dec 29, 2008 11:43 am

Jeff Saut: Expect Further Embezzlement
 
This crime is unique in that it's only uncovered after a period of time.
 

 
Obviously I agree with my friend Stephanie, which is why my firm has been recommending the scale buying of distressed debt situations like BlackRock MuniHoldings Insured (MUE) and Nuveen Insured Dividend Advantage (NVG), both of which sell at discounts to their net asset value and have over 6% tax free yields. We also have been recommending Lord Abbett Bond Debenture Fund (LBNDX) with a near 9% yield. Moreover, even though we have avoided the financial complex for years, for those wanting exposure to said complex our vehicle of choice remains the iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Shares (PFF), which is yielding over 10% and has a 78% exposure to the financial complex’s preferred shares (see the attendant chart). Additionally, during the past few weeks we have added the iShares MSCI Japan (EWJ) and iShares FTSE China (FXI) to the ETF portfolio.



The call for this week: The world’s stock markets are well off their “lows,” risk appetites are slowly returning, and the central banks are aggressively easing. Indeed, as MaroStrategy’s Bob Parenteau notes, "The prime monetary policy operation becomes the Fed’s ability to use its infinitely expandable balance sheet to purchase longer maturity Treasuries, GSE debt, mortgage backed securities, and in the extreme, even equities and corporate bonds with the objective of getting private market interest rates down and asset prices up." My firm continues to think the Fed will be successful. Happy New Year everybody.
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Comments (2) See All Comments »
12-29-2008, 11:20 pm
but I am not sure that the fact most asset classes have given back gains of the past decade means we have reached a bottom.
For one thing, the housing market has not bottomed out and we have yet to see the real effects of deleveraging in the h
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12-30-2008, 11:25 am
Dov has it correct. S&P earnings "might" come in at $60 per share in 2009 and that equates to a 720 average (at 12X) versus 850 or so today or a 15% decline. Granted, there are many short term rallies in a bear market, but the facts
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